Kyrie Irving

Dallas Mavericks · G · #11

DAL @ SA · Wed, Nov 4 9:30 PM

Over only1.5

Over 1.5 Steals+Blocks, typical price +1101 sportsbook · consensus lineUpdated

60%6 of 10L10

Over 1.5 Steals+Blocks cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (4 of 5 on the road).

at GS, 2025-02-23: 3, cleared, 32 min
at LAL, 2025-02-25: 5, cleared, 40 min
vs CHA, 2025-02-27: 4, cleared, 38 min
vs MIL, 2025-03-01: 1, missed, 38 min
vs SAC, 2025-03-03: 0, missed, 9 min
at HOU, 2026-10-21: 1, missed, 24 min
at IND, 2026-10-23: 2, cleared, 25 min
at MIA, 2026-10-26: 2, cleared, 33 min
vs OKC, 2026-10-28: 4, cleared, 27 min
vs HOU, 2026-10-30: 0, missed, 35 min

ClearedMissedThe 1.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for yesterday's game: a typical game lands 0–3 steals+blocks.

What's different yesterday

Over 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Max Christie: Out (hip)
Over 1.5 without him: no games; with him: 3 of 5 (5 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Dereck Lively II: Out (foot)
Over 1.5 without him: 3 of 5; with him: no games (5 games as teammates)
Minutes
Last 5: 28.8 min · 2024–25: 36 (50 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 2 vs SAC
Irving sat the last game (Nov 2)

Splits

Over 1.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against SA in his last 10; Over 1.5 cleared in 4 of 4 against SA on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 1.5 · L10

Cooper FlaggF
Naji MarshallF
P.J. WashingtonF
Max ChristieGOut
Dereck Lively IICOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out yesterday. Only games they were teammates on the Mavericks count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs SA

Irving didn't play the Oct 24 meeting; steals+blocks the last time Irving faced them: 2 (Nov 16, 2024)

Over 1.5 hit in 4 of 4 games against SA on record

L10 · Over 1.5

Average: 2.2; +0.7 vs line
Median: 2; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 6 of 10
Price implies: 48%; at +110
Books’ fair: —; no Under posted
Our chance: 47%; estimate · fair +111

Research, not a pick. At +110 the price is worse than our fair +111, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price of the Over and how many sportsbooks price it. No Under is posted.
Line	Over	L10
	−4001 book	8/10
	+1101 book	6/10
	+3301 book	4/10

Over only: sportsbooks post this as a yes bet (“2+ steals+blocks”), with no Under to take.

Compare 1 sportsbook at 1.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over 1.5 Steals+Blocks, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 1.5
Bally Bet7 hr ago	+110Best

Prices as of 9:40 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

1.5

Over: +102 → +110 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+3%

Kyrie Irving's full game log and splits

This page last updated 9:43 PM ET.