Jabari Smith Jr.

Houston Rockets · F · #10

MIN @ HOU · Tomorrow 8:30 PM

Over Under2.5

Over 2.5 3-Pointers Made, typical price +1075 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 2.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TonightDefense vs forwards
MIN allow 3.0 threes made a game to forwards: the fewest of 30
8 games
Teammate out
Steven Adams: Out (calf)
Over 2.5 without him: 25 of 59; with him: 14 of 33 (92 games as teammates)
Minutes
Last 5: 34.6 min · 2026–27: 34.1 (8 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 2 vs BOS

60%6 of 10L10

Over 2.5 3-Pointers Made cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (3 of 5 at home).

at LAL, 2026-04-29: 4, cleared, 42 min
vs LAL, 2026-05-01: 1, missed, 42 min
vs DAL, 2026-10-21: 4, cleared, 36 min
at SA, 2026-10-23: 1, missed, 31 min
at ATL, 2026-10-24: 2, missed, 33 min
vs ATL, 2026-10-26: 2, missed, 39 min
at MIL, 2026-10-28: 3, cleared, 30 min
at DAL, 2026-10-30: 3, cleared, 35 min
vs OKC, 2026-10-31: 6, cleared, 33 min
vs BOS, 2026-11-02: 4, cleared, 36 min

ClearedMissedThe 2.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Splits

Over 2.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against MIN in his last 10; Over 2.5 cleared in 3 of 9 against MIN on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 2.5 · L10

Kevin DurantF
Alperen SengunC
Amen ThompsonG
Steven AdamsCOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Rockets count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs MIN

3-Pointers Made: 2 in 40 min, Apr 10 (home)

Over 2.5 hit in 3 of 9 games against MIN on record

L10 · Over 2.5

Average: 3; +0.5 vs line
Median: 3; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 6 of 10
Price implies: 48%; at +107
Books’ fair: 43%; margin removed
Minutes: 35.7; 10 games · 35.6 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 2.5 43%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−18001 book	—	10/10
−2784 books	—	8/10
+1075 books	−1554 books	6/10
+2555 books	—	4/10
+5254 books	—	1/10
+15001 book	—	1/10
+29001 book	—	0/10

Compare 5 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 2.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 2.5 3-Pointers Made, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 2.5	Under 2.5
DraftKings11 min ago	+132Best	−174
FanDuel3 min ago	+126	−168
Bally Bet6 min ago	+107	—
betPARX4 min ago	+107	−143Best
BetRivers4 min ago	+106	−143Best
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 8:58 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

2.5

Over −102 → +107 since first seen

Jabari Smith Jr.'s full game log and splits