Jabari Smith Jr.
MIN @ HOU · Tomorrow 8:30 PMWhat's different tonight
Over 21.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTeammate out
Steven Adams: Out (calf)
Over 21.5 without him: 35 of 59; with him: 19 of 33 (92 games as teammates)
Minutes
Last 5: 34.6 min · 2026–27: 34.1 (8 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 2 vs BOS
Game lines
HOU −8.5 · total 220.5 (8 sportsbooks)
HOU's games this season closed at 224.5 on average (8 games)
Game log against Over 21.5
60%6 of 10L10
Over 21.5 Pts+Reb cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (4 of 5 at home).
Splits
Over 21.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against MIN in his last 10; Over 21.5 cleared in 6 of 9 against MIN on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Over 21.5 · L10Kevin DurantF
Alperen SengunC
Amen ThompsonG
Steven AdamsCOut
The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Rockets count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs MIN
Pts+Reb: 22 in 40 min, Apr 10 (home)
Over 21.5 hit in 6 of 9 games against MIN on record
L10 · Over 21.5
- Average
- 24.8
- +3.3 vs line
- Median
- 24.5
- +3 vs line
- Hit rate
- 60%
- 6 of 10
- Price implies
- 54%
- at −119
- Books’ fair
- 51%
- margin removed
- Minutes
- 35.7
- 10 games · 35.6 in 2025–26
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 21.5 51%.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −45001 book | — | 10/10 | |
| −6501 book | — | 9/10 | |
| −1824 books | — | 7/10 | |
| −1192 books | −1112 books | 6/10 | |
| +1023 books | −1371 book | 6/10 | |
| +1454 books | — | 5/10 | |
| +3821 book | — | 2/10 |
Compare 2 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 21.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 21.5 | Under 21.5 |
|---|---|---|
| FanDuel3 min ago | −112Best | −118 |
| DraftKings2 min ago | −126 | −104Best |
| PrizePickspick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 9:14 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
21.522.5 → 21.5 since first seen


