Jabari Smith Jr.
MIN @ HOU · Tomorrow 8:30 PMWhat's different tonight
Over 23.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTeammate out
Steven Adams: Out (calf)
Over 23.5 without him: 36 of 59; with him: 17 of 33 (92 games as teammates)
Defense vs forwards
MIN allow 59.6 points + rebounds + assists a game to forwards: 26th most of 30
8 games
Minutes
Last 5: 34.6 min · 2026–27: 34.1 (8 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 2 vs BOS
Game log against Over 23.5
70%7 of 10L10
Over 23.5 Pts+Reb+Ast cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (5 of 5 at home).
Splits
Over 23.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against MIN in his last 10; Over 23.5 cleared in 6 of 9 against MIN on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Over 23.5 · L10Kevin DurantF
Alperen SengunC
Amen ThompsonG
Steven AdamsCOut
The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Rockets count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs MIN
Pts+Reb+Ast: 24 in 40 min, Apr 10 (home)
Over 23.5 hit in 6 of 9 games against MIN on record
L10 · Over 23.5
- Average
- 27.3
- +3.8 vs line
- Median
- 25.5
- +2 vs line
- Hit rate
- 70%
- 7 of 10
- Price implies
- 52%
- at −110
- Books’ fair
- 48%
- margin removed
- Minutes
- 35.7
- 10 games · 35.6 in 2025–26
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 23.5 48%.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −10001 book | — | 9/10 | |
| −2784 books | — | 8/10 | |
| −1102 books | −1251 book | 7/10 | |
| +1054 books | −1412 books | 5/10 | |
| +2604 books | — | 4/10 | |
| +7201 book | — | 2/10 | |
| +16201 book | — | 1/10 |
Compare 2 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 23.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 23.5 | Under 23.5 |
|---|---|---|
| FanDuel3 min ago | −106Best | −125Best |
| DraftKings3 min ago | −114 | — |
| PrizePickspick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 9:54 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
23.524.5 → 23.5 since first seen


