Jabari Smith Jr.

Houston Rockets · F · #10

MIN @ HOU · Tomorrow 8:30 PM

Over Under16.5

Over 16.5 Pts+Ast, typical price −1182 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 16.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Steven Adams: Out (calf)
Over 16.5 without him: 38 of 59; with him: 18 of 33 (92 games as teammates)
Minutes
Last 5: 34.6 min · 2026–27: 34.1 (8 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 2 vs BOS
Game lines
HOU −8.5 · total 220.5 (10 sportsbooks)
HOU's games this season closed at 224.5 on average (8 games)

60%6 of 10L10

Over 16.5 Pts+Ast cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (3 of 5 at home).

at LAL, 2026-04-29: 25, cleared, 42 min
vs LAL, 2026-05-01: 12, missed, 42 min
vs DAL, 2026-10-21: 31, cleared, 36 min
at SA, 2026-10-23: 8, missed, 31 min
at ATL, 2026-10-24: 17, cleared, 33 min
vs ATL, 2026-10-26: 21, cleared, 39 min
at MIL, 2026-10-28: 16, missed, 30 min
at DAL, 2026-10-30: 24, cleared, 35 min
vs OKC, 2026-10-31: 35, cleared, 33 min
vs BOS, 2026-11-02: 14, missed, 36 min

ClearedMissedThe 16.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Splits

Over 16.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against MIN in his last 10; Over 16.5 cleared in 6 of 9 against MIN on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 16.5 · L10

Kevin DurantF
Alperen SengunC
Amen ThompsonG
Steven AdamsCOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Rockets count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs MIN

Pts+Ast: 18 in 40 min, Apr 10 (home)

Over 16.5 hit in 6 of 9 games against MIN on record

L10 · Over 16.5

Average: 20.3; +3.8 vs line
Median: 19; +2.5 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 6 of 10
Price implies: 54%; at −118
Books’ fair: 51%; margin removed
Minutes: 35.7; 10 games · 35.6 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 16.5 51%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−8601 book	—	9/10
−2154 books	—	7/10
−1182 books	−1121 book	6/10
−1063 books	−1291 book	5/10
+1484 books	—	5/10
+4821 book	—	3/10
+12401 book	—	2/10

Compare 2 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 16.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 16.5 Pts+Ast, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 16.5	Under 16.5
FanDuel1 min ago	−118Best	−112Best
DraftKings14 min ago	−119	—
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 9:52 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

16.5

17.5 → 16.5 since first seen

Jabari Smith Jr.'s full game log and splits