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Isaiah Collier
UTAH @ SA · Mon, Nov 2 8:30 PM
Game log against Over 0.5
50%5 of 10L10
Over 0.5 Steals cleared in 5 of his last 10 games (4 of 4 on the road).
Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 0–2 steals.
No matchup, rest or pace facts for this line yet: they come with the next publish.
L10 · Over 0.5
- Average
- 0.9
- +0.4 vs line
- Median
- 0.5
- ±0 vs line
- Hit rate
- 50%
- 5 of 10
- Price implies
- 61%
- at −159
- Books’ fair
- 57%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 60%
- estimate · fair −150
Research, not a pick. At −159 (the best of 4 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −150, so it isn't worth it.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −1594 books | +1171 book | 5/10 | |
| +2654 books | — | 3/10 | |
| +6901 book | — | 1/10 | |
| +17001 book | — | 0/10 |
Compare 4 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet7 hr ago | −159Best | — |
| betPARX7 hr ago | −159Best | +117Best |
| BetRivers7 hr ago | −159Best | — |
| DraftKings7 hr ago | −203 | — |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 8:37 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
0.5No opening line kept for this market yet.
No line history recorded for this market yet.
What moved our number
Pace+3%
This page last updated 8:37 PM ET.