Isaiah Collier
UTAH @ SA · Mon, Nov 2 8:30 PM
Game log against Over 9.5
80%8 of 10L10
Over 9.5 Pts+Reb cleared in 8 of his last 10 games (4 of 4 on the road).
Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 6.6–23 pts+reb.
No matchup, rest or pace facts for this line yet: they come with the next publish.
L10 · Over 9.5
- Average
- 14.3
- +4.8 vs line
- Median
- 13
- +3.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 80%
- 8 of 10
- Price implies
- 56%
- at −127
- Books’ fair
- 52%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 65%
- estimate · fair −182
Research, not a pick. At −124 (the best of 6 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −182, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −8501 book | — | 10/10 | |
| −1801 book | +1351 book | 10/10 | |
| −1276 books | −1053 books | 8/10 | |
| +1054 books | −1442 books | 7/10 | |
| +3005 books | — | 4/10 | |
| +10192 books | — | 2/10 | |
| +26052 books | — | 1/10 |
Compare 6 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 9.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 9.5 | Under 9.5 |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings22 hr ago | −124Best | −106 |
| Bovada22 hr ago | −125 | −105 |
| Bally Bet22 hr ago | −127 | — |
| betPARX22 hr ago | −127 | — |
| BetRivers22 hr ago | −127 | — |
| FanDuel22 hr ago | −130 | +102Best |
| PrizePickspick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 8:37 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
9.5No opening line kept for this market yet.
No line history recorded for this market yet.
What moved our number
Pace+3%
This page last updated 8:37 PM ET.