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Isaiah Collier
UTAH @ SAJazz @ Spurs · Today 8:30 PM ET
The line
Over 7.5 Points
Typical price −1037 sportsbooksbest +100
Game log
Over 7.5Over 7.5 Points cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (3 of 4 on the road).
Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 4.3–19.7 points.
Home and away
L10 · Over 7.5Home
50%
3 of 6
Awaytonight
75%
3 of 4
L10 · Over 7.5 Points
- Average
- 10.6
- +3.1 vs line
- Median
- 8.5
- +1 vs line
- Hit rate
- 60%
- 6 of 10
- Price implies
- 51%
- −103, 7 sportsbooks
- Market’s fair
- 48%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 60%
- estimate · fair −152
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.
Research, not a pick. At +100 (the best of 7 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −152, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Compare 7 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 7.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 7.5 | Under 7.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bovada3 hr ago | +100Best | −130 |
| DraftKings3 hr ago | +100Best | −127 |
| Bally Bet3 hr ago | −103 | — |
| betPARX3 hr ago | −103 | −132 |
| BetRivers3 hr ago | −103 | −132 |
| FanDuel3 hr ago | −104 | −122 |
| Pinnacle3 hr ago | −116 | −114Best |
| PrizePickspick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 8:37 PM ET.
Every posted line
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −11001 book | — | 10/10 | |
| −5604 books | — | 10/10 | |
| −3512 books | — | 10/10 | |
| −2156 books | +1651 book | 10/10 | |
| −1492 books | +1101 book | 9/10 | |
| −1037 books | −1286 books | 6/10 | |
| +1382 books | −1851 book | 5/10 | |
| +1886 books | −2601 book | 4/10 | |
| +2501 book | — | 3/10 | |
| +3355 books | — | 3/10 | |
| +4301 book | — | 3/10 | |
| +5504 books | — | 3/10 | |
| +8003 books | — | 2/10 | |
| +16001 book | — | 1/10 | |
| +24003 books | — | 1/10 | |
| +40001 book | — | 0/10 |
What moved our number
Pace+3%