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Isaiah Collier
UTAH @ SAJazz @ Spurs · Today 8:30 PM ET
The line
Over 4.5 Assists
Typical price −1507 sportsbooksbest −130
Game log
Over 4.5Over 4.5 Assists cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (2 of 4 on the road).
Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 3–9 assists.
Home and away
L10 · Over 4.5Home
83%
5 of 6
Awaytonight
50%
2 of 4
L10 · Over 4.5 Assists
- Average
- 5.7
- +1.2 vs line
- Median
- 6
- +1.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 70%
- 7 of 10
- Price implies
- 60%
- −150, 7 sportsbooks
- Market’s fair
- 55%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 62%
- estimate · fair −163
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.
Research, not a pick. At −130 (the best of 7 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −163, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Compare 7 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 4.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 4.5 | Under 4.5 |
|---|---|---|
| FanDuel3 hr ago | −130Best | +102 |
| Pinnacle4 hr ago | −132 | −100 |
| Bovada4 hr ago | −150 | +115Best |
| DraftKings4 hr ago | −150 | +114 |
| Bally Bet4 hr ago | −167 | — |
| betPARX4 hr ago | −167 | — |
| BetRivers3 hr ago | −167 | — |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 8:37 PM ET.
Every posted line
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −35001 book | — | 10/10 | |
| −8355 books | — | 10/10 | |
| −3355 books | — | 8/10 | |
| −1507 books | +1084 books | 7/10 | |
| pick'em only | pick'em only | 6/10 | |
| +1176 books | −1483 books | 6/10 | |
| +1885 books | — | 3/10 | |
| +3105 books | — | 2/10 | |
| +4804 books | — | 1/10 | |
| +11203 books | — | 0/10 | |
| +17201 book | — | 0/10 | |
| +25002 books | — | 0/10 | |
| +40001 book | — | 0/10 |
What moved our number
Pace+3%