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Isaiah Collier
UTAH @ SA · Mon, Nov 2 8:30 PM
Game log against Over 12.5
70%7 of 10L10
Over 12.5 Pts+Ast cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (3 of 4 on the road).
Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 7.8–27.4 pts+ast.
No matchup, rest or pace facts for this line yet: they come with the next publish.
L10 · Over 12.5
- Average
- 16.3
- +3.8 vs line
- Median
- 14.5
- +2 vs line
- Hit rate
- 70%
- 7 of 10
- Price implies
- 53%
- at −112
- Books’ fair
- 49%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 61%
- estimate · fair −156
Research, not a pick. At −106 (the best of 6 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −156, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −2785 books | — | 10/10 | |
| −2001 book | +1501 book | 9/10 | |
| −1451 book | +1101 book | 9/10 | |
| −1126 books | −1214 books | 7/10 | |
| +1485 books | — | 5/10 | |
| +5162 books | — | 3/10 | |
| +16492 books | — | 1/10 |
Compare 6 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 12.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 12.5 | Under 12.5 |
|---|---|---|
| FanDuel7 hr ago | −106Best | −125 |
| DraftKings7 hr ago | −108 | −122 |
| Bovada7 hr ago | −110 | −120 |
| Bally Bet7 hr ago | −115 | — |
| betPARX7 hr ago | −115 | −118Best |
| BetRivers7 hr ago | −115 | — |
| PrizePickspick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 8:37 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
12.5No opening line kept for this market yet.
No line history recorded for this market yet.
What moved our number
Pace+3%
This page last updated 8:37 PM ET.