Isaiah Collier
UTAH @ SA · Mon, Nov 2 8:30 PMGame log against Over 7.5
60%6 of 10L10
Over 7.5 Points cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (3 of 4 on the road).
Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 4.3–19.7 points.
No matchup, rest or pace facts for this line yet: they come with the next publish.
L10 · Over 7.5
- Average
- 10.6
- +3.1 vs line
- Median
- 8.5
- +1 vs line
- Hit rate
- 60%
- 6 of 10
- Price implies
- 51%
- at −103
- Books’ fair
- 48%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 60%
- estimate · fair −152
Research, not a pick. At +100 (the best of 7 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −152, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −3512 books | — | 10/10 | |
| −2156 books | +1651 book | 10/10 | |
| −1492 books | +1101 book | 9/10 | |
| −1037 books | −1286 books | 6/10 | |
| +1382 books | −1851 book | 5/10 | |
| +1886 books | −2601 book | 4/10 | |
| +2501 book | — | 3/10 |
Compare 7 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 7.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 7.5 | Under 7.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bovada24 hr ago | +100Best | −130 |
| DraftKings24 hr ago | +100Best | −127 |
| Bally Bet24 hr ago | −103 | — |
| betPARX24 hr ago | −103 | −132 |
| BetRivers24 hr ago | −103 | −132 |
| FanDuel24 hr ago | −104 | −122 |
| Pinnacle24 hr ago | −116 | −114Best |
| PrizePickspick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 8:37 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
7.5No opening line kept for this market yet.
No line history recorded for this market yet.
What moved our number
Pace+3%
This page last updated 8:37 PM ET.


