Isaiah Collier
UTAH @ SA · Mon, Nov 2 8:30 PM
Game log against Over 4.5
70%7 of 10L10
Over 4.5 Assists cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (2 of 4 on the road).
Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 3–9 assists.
No matchup, rest or pace facts for this line yet: they come with the next publish.
L10 · Over 4.5
- Average
- 5.7
- +1.2 vs line
- Median
- 6
- +1.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 70%
- 7 of 10
- Price implies
- 60%
- at −150
- Books’ fair
- 55%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 62%
- estimate · fair −163
Research, not a pick. At −130 (the best of 7 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −163, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −35001 book | — | 10/10 | |
| −8355 books | — | 10/10 | |
| −3355 books | — | 8/10 | |
| −1507 books | +1084 books | 7/10 | |
| pick'em only | pick'em only | 6/10 | |
| +1176 books | −1483 books | 6/10 | |
| +1885 books | — | 3/10 |
Compare 7 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 4.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 4.5 | Under 4.5 |
|---|---|---|
| FanDuel25 hr ago | −130Best | +102 |
| Pinnacle25 hr ago | −132 | −100 |
| Bovada25 hr ago | −150 | +115Best |
| DraftKings25 hr ago | −150 | +114 |
| Bally Bet25 hr ago | −167 | — |
| betPARX25 hr ago | −167 | — |
| BetRivers25 hr ago | −167 | — |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 8:37 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
4.5No opening line kept for this market yet.
No line history recorded for this market yet.
What moved our number
Pace+3%
This page last updated 8:37 PM ET.