Derrick Jones Jr.

LA Clippers · F · #5

MIA @ LAC · Today 10:30 PM

Over Under1.5

Over 1.5 Steals, typical price +1702 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different today

Over 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TodayDefense vs forwards
MIA allow 4.7 steals a game to forwards: 2nd most of 30
7 games
Teammate out
Jordan Miller: Out (shoulder)
Over 1.5 without him: 3 of 8; with him: 10 of 39 (47 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Bradley Beal: Out (knee)
Over 1.5 without him: 13 of 50; with him: 0 of 6 (56 games as teammates)
Minutes
Last 5: 29.4 min · 2025–26: 26.9 (50 games)

20%2 of 10L10

Over 1.5 Steals cleared in 2 of his last 10 games (1 of 5 at home).

vs DAL, 2026-04-07: 0, missed, 23 min
vs OKC, 2026-04-08: 0, missed, 30 min
at POR, 2026-04-10: 1, missed, 23 min
vs GS, 2026-04-12: 0, missed, 21 min
vs SAC, 2026-10-21: 1, missed, 26 min
at LAL, 2026-10-23: 2, cleared, 35 min
at OKC, 2026-10-25: 0, missed, 30 min
vs LAL, 2026-10-28: 4, cleared, 28 min
at MIN, 2026-10-30: 0, missed, 26 min
at GS, 2026-11-01: 0, missed, 28 min

ClearedMissedThe 1.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Splits

Over 1.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against MIA in his last 10; Over 1.5 cleared in 1 of 5 against MIA on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 1.5 · L10

Darius GarlandG
Rui HachimuraF
Keaton WaglerG
Jordan MillerGOut
Bradley BealGOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Clippers count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs MIA

Jr. didn't play the Dec 1, 2025 meeting; steals the last time Jr. faced them: 1 (Nov 3, 2025)

Over 1.5 hit in 1 of 5 games against MIA on record

L10 · Over 1.5

Average: 0.8; −0.7 vs line
Median: 0; −1.5 vs line
Hit rate: 20%; 2 of 10
Price implies: 37%; at +170
Books’ fair: —; needs both sides
Minutes: 27; 10 games · 26.9 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−2582 books	pick'em only	4/10
+1702 books	pick'em only	2/10
+5392 books	—	1/10
+14802 books	—	1/10

Compare 2 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 1.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 1.5 Steals, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 1.5	Under 1.5
FanDuel4 min ago	+194Best	—
DraftKings7 min ago	+170	—
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 10:07 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

1.5

+154 → +170 since first seen

Derrick Jones Jr.'s full game log and splits