Derrick Jones Jr.

LA Clippers · F · #5

MIA @ LAC · Today 10:30 PM

Over Under14.5

Over 14.5 Pts+Reb, typical price −1142 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different today

Over 14.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Jordan Miller: Out (shoulder)
Over 14.5 without him: 4 of 8; with him: 19 of 39 (47 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Bradley Beal: Out (knee)
Over 14.5 without him: 24 of 50; with him: 3 of 6 (56 games as teammates)
Minutes
Last 5: 29.4 min · 2025–26: 26.9 (50 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 2 vs TOR
Jr. sat the last game (Nov 2)

60%6 of 10L10

Over 14.5 Pts+Reb cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (3 of 5 at home).

vs DAL, 2026-04-07: 21, cleared, 23 min
vs OKC, 2026-04-08: 16, cleared, 30 min
at POR, 2026-04-10: 12, missed, 23 min
vs GS, 2026-04-12: 4, missed, 21 min
vs SAC, 2026-10-21: 14, missed, 26 min
at LAL, 2026-10-23: 20, cleared, 35 min
at OKC, 2026-10-25: 17, cleared, 30 min
vs LAL, 2026-10-28: 20, cleared, 28 min
at MIN, 2026-10-30: 11, missed, 26 min
at GS, 2026-11-01: 16, cleared, 28 min

ClearedMissedThe 14.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Splits

Over 14.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against MIA in his last 10; Over 14.5 cleared in 1 of 5 against MIA on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 14.5 · L10

Darius GarlandG
Rui HachimuraF
Keaton WaglerG
Jordan MillerGOut
Bradley BealGOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Clippers count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs MIA

Jr. didn't play the Dec 1, 2025 meeting; pts+reb the last time Jr. faced them: 15 (Nov 3, 2025)

Over 14.5 hit in 1 of 5 games against MIA on record

L10 · Over 14.5

Average: 15.1; +0.6 vs line
Median: 16; +1.5 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 6 of 10
Price implies: 53%; at −114
Books’ fair: 49%; margin removed
Minutes: 27; 10 games · 26.9 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 14.5 49%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−4831 book	—	9/10
−1142 books	−1202 books	6/10
+3051 book	—	3/10
+9201 book	—	0/10
+22001 book	—	0/10

Compare 2 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 14.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 14.5 Pts+Reb, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 14.5	Under 14.5
DraftKings1 min ago	−110Best	−120
FanDuel1 min ago	−114	−114Best
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 1:34 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

14.5

Over No move since first seen

Derrick Jones Jr.'s full game log and splits