Derrick Jones Jr.

LA Clippers · F · #5

MIA @ LAC · Today 10:30 PM

Over Under10.5

Over 10.5 Points, typical price −1023 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different today

Over 10.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Jordan Miller: Out (shoulder)
Over 10.5 without him: 4 of 8; with him: 18 of 39 (47 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Bradley Beal: Out (knee)
Over 10.5 without him: 23 of 50; with him: 4 of 6 (56 games as teammates)
Defense vs forwards
MIA allow 42.6 points a game to forwards: 15th most of 30
7 games
Minutes
Last 5: 29.4 min · 2025–26: 26.9 (50 games)

50%5 of 10L10

Over 10.5 Points cleared in 5 of his last 10 games (3 of 5 at home).

vs DAL, 2026-04-07: 11, cleared, 23 min
vs OKC, 2026-04-08: 11, cleared, 30 min
at POR, 2026-04-10: 10, missed, 23 min
vs GS, 2026-04-12: 0, missed, 21 min
vs SAC, 2026-10-21: 8, missed, 26 min
at LAL, 2026-10-23: 16, cleared, 35 min
at OKC, 2026-10-25: 11, cleared, 30 min
vs LAL, 2026-10-28: 15, cleared, 28 min
at MIN, 2026-10-30: 10, missed, 26 min
at GS, 2026-11-01: 9, missed, 28 min

ClearedMissedThe 10.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Splits

Over 10.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against MIA in his last 10; Over 10.5 cleared in 2 of 5 against MIA on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 10.5 · L10

Darius GarlandG
Rui HachimuraF
Keaton WaglerG
Jordan MillerGOut
Bradley BealGOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Clippers count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs MIA

Jr. didn't play the Dec 1, 2025 meeting; points the last time Jr. faced them: 12 (Nov 3, 2025)

Over 10.5 hit in 2 of 5 games against MIA on record

L10 · Over 10.5

Average: 10.1; −0.4 vs line
Median: 10.5; ±0 vs line
Hit rate: 50%; 5 of 10
Price implies: 50%; at −102
Books’ fair: 47%; margin removed
Minutes: 27; 10 games · 26.9 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 10.5 47%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−5321 book	—	9/10
−2521 book	—	9/10
−1402 books	—	7/10
−1023 books	−1303 books	5/10
+1341 book	—	2/10
+3002 books	—	2/10
+6701 book	—	0/10

Compare 3 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 10.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 10.5 Points, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 10.5	Under 10.5
DraftKings5 min ago	+102Best	−131
FanDuel5 min ago	−102	−130Best
Pinnacle5 min ago	−102	−130Best
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 2:34 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

10.5

Over −106 → −102 since first seen

Derrick Jones Jr.'s full game log and splits