Derrick Jones Jr.

LA Clippers · F · #5

MIA @ LAC · Today 10:30 PM

Over Under4.5

Over 4.5 Rebounds, typical price +1163 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different today

Over 4.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Jordan Miller: Out (shoulder)
Over 4.5 without him: 5 of 8; with him: 9 of 39 (47 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Bradley Beal: Out (knee)
Over 4.5 without him: 14 of 50; with him: 0 of 6 (56 games as teammates)
Defense vs forwards
MIA allow 19.0 rebounds a game to forwards: 14th most of 30
7 games
Minutes
Last 5: 29.4 min · 2025–26: 26.9 (50 games)

60%6 of 10L10

Over 4.5 Rebounds cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (4 of 5 at home).

vs DAL, 2026-04-07: 10, cleared, 23 min
vs OKC, 2026-04-08: 5, cleared, 30 min
at POR, 2026-04-10: 2, missed, 23 min
vs GS, 2026-04-12: 4, missed, 21 min
vs SAC, 2026-10-21: 6, cleared, 26 min
at LAL, 2026-10-23: 4, missed, 35 min
at OKC, 2026-10-25: 6, cleared, 30 min
vs LAL, 2026-10-28: 5, cleared, 28 min
at MIN, 2026-10-30: 1, missed, 26 min
at GS, 2026-11-01: 7, cleared, 28 min

ClearedMissedThe 4.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Splits

Over 4.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against MIA in his last 10; Over 4.5 cleared in 0 of 5 against MIA on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 4.5 · L10

Darius GarlandG
Rui HachimuraF
Keaton WaglerG
Jordan MillerGOut
Bradley BealGOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Clippers count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs MIA

Jr. didn't play the Dec 1, 2025 meeting; rebounds the last time Jr. faced them: 3 (Nov 3, 2025)

Over 4.5 hit in 0 of 5 games against MIA on record

L10 · Over 4.5

Average: 5; +0.5 vs line
Median: 5; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 6 of 10
Price implies: 46%; at +116
Books’ fair: 43%; margin removed
Minutes: 27; 10 games · 26.9 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 4.5 43%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−5002 books	—	8/10
−1803 books	+1351 book	8/10
+1163 books	−1533 books	6/10
+2302 books	—	4/10
+3752 books	—	2/10
+7802 books	—	1/10
+13601 book	—	1/10

Compare 3 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 4.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 4.5 Rebounds, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 4.5	Under 4.5
FanDuel2 min ago	+120Best	−160
DraftKings8 min ago	+116	−153
Bovada7 min ago	+115	−150Best
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 3:55 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

4.5

Over: +124 → +116 since first seen

Derrick Jones Jr.'s full game log and splits