Derrick Jones Jr.
MIA @ LAC · LiveGame log against Over 4.5
60%6 of 10L10
Over 4.5 Rebounds cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (4 of 5 at home).
What's different yesterday
Over 4.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTeammate out
Jordan Miller: Out (shoulder)
Over 4.5 without him: 5 of 8; with him: 9 of 39 (47 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Bradley Beal: Out (knee)
Over 4.5 without him: 14 of 50; with him: 0 of 6 (56 games as teammates)
Defense vs forwards
MIA allow 19.0 rebounds a game to forwards: 14th most of 30
7 games
Minutes
Last 5: 29.4 min · 2025–26: 26.9 (50 games)
Splits
Over 4.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against MIA in his last 10; Over 4.5 cleared in 0 of 5 against MIA on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Over 4.5 · L10Darius GarlandG
Rui HachimuraF
Keaton WaglerG
Jordan MillerGOut
Bradley BealGOut
The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out yesterday. Only games they were teammates on the Clippers count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs MIA
Jr. didn't play the Dec 1, 2025 meeting; rebounds the last time Jr. faced them: 3 (Nov 3, 2025)
Over 4.5 hit in 0 of 5 games against MIA on record
L10 · Over 4.5
- Average
- 5
- +0.5 vs line
- Median
- 5
- +0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 60%
- 6 of 10
- Price implies
- 47%
- at +112
- Books’ fair
- 44%
- margin removed
- Minutes
- 27
- 10 games · 26.9 in 2025–26
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 4.5 44%.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −20003 books | — | 9/10 | |
| −4704 books | — | 8/10 | |
| −1805 books | +1351 book | 8/10 | |
| +1126 books | −1503 books | 6/10 | |
| +2102 books | — | 4/10 | |
| +3754 books | — | 2/10 | |
| +6002 books | — | 1/10 |
Compare 6 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 4.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 4.5 | Under 4.5 |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings19 hr ago | +119Best | −158 |
| Bovada19 hr ago | +115 | −150 |
| Bally Bet19 hr ago | +112 | — |
| betPARX19 hr ago | +112 | — |
| BetRivers19 hr ago | +112 | — |
| Pinnacle19 hr ago | +108 | −144Best |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 10:41 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
4.5Over: +124 → +112 since first seen
This page last updated 10:43 PM ET.


