DeMar DeRozan
POR @ DEN · Mon, Nov 2 9:00 PM
Game log against Over 0.5
40%4 of 10L10
Over 0.5 Steals cleared in 4 of his last 10 games (2 of 4 at home).
Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 0–2 steals.
No matchup, rest or pace facts for this line yet: they come with the next publish.
L10 · Over 0.5
- Average
- 0.8
- +0.3 vs line
- Median
- 0
- −0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 40%
- 4 of 10
- Price implies
- 70%
- at −230
- Books’ fair
- 65%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 58%
- estimate · fair −140
Research, not a pick. At −129 (the best of 4 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −140, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −2304 books | +1651 book | 4/10 | |
| +1884 books | — | 4/10 | |
| +5504 books | — | 0/10 |
Compare 4 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings12 hr ago | −129Best | — |
| Bally Bet12 hr ago | −230 | — |
| betPARX12 hr ago | −230 | +165Best |
| BetRivers12 hr ago | −230 | — |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 9:07 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
0.5No opening line kept for this market yet.
No line history recorded for this market yet.
What moved our number
Pace+2%
This page last updated 9:07 PM ET.