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DeMar DeRozan
POR @ DENTrail Blazers @ Nuggets · Today 9:00 PM ET
The line
Over 2.5 Assists
Typical price −1226 sportsbooksbest +102
Game log
Over 2.5Over 2.5 Assists cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (2 of 4 at home).
Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 2–7 assists.
Home and away
L10 · Over 2.5Hometonight
50%
2 of 4
Away
83%
5 of 6
L10 · Over 2.5 Assists
- Average
- 3.8
- +1.3 vs line
- Median
- 3.5
- +1 vs line
- Hit rate
- 70%
- 7 of 10
- Price implies
- 55%
- −122, 6 sportsbooks
- Market’s fair
- 50%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 61%
- estimate · fair −154
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.
Research, not a pick. At +102 (the best of 6 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −154, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Compare 6 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 2.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|---|
| FanDuel37 min ago | +102Best | −130 |
| DraftKings43 min ago | −118 | −112 |
| Bovada40 min ago | −120 | −110 |
| Bally Bet40 min ago | −125 | — |
| betPARX40 min ago | −125 | −107Best |
| BetRivers37 min ago | −127 | −108 |
| PrizePickspick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 9:07 PM ET.
Every posted line
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −200001 book | — | 8/10 | |
| −3604 books | — | 8/10 | |
| −1226 books | −1105 books | 7/10 | |
| +1926 books | −2801 book | 5/10 | |
| +3805 books | — | 4/10 | |
| +7005 books | — | 1/10 | |
| +17672 books | — | 1/10 |
What moved our number
Pace+2%