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DeMar DeRozan
POR @ DEN · Mon, Nov 2 9:00 PM
Game log against Over 11.5
70%7 of 10L10
Over 11.5 Points cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (3 of 4 at home).
Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 3–28 points.
No matchup, rest or pace facts for this line yet: they come with the next publish.
L10 · Over 11.5
- Average
- 16.1
- +4.6 vs line
- Median
- 13.5
- +2 vs line
- Hit rate
- 70%
- 7 of 10
- Price implies
- 53%
- at −111
- Books’ fair
- 49%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 57%
- estimate · fair −135
Research, not a pick. At +100 (the best of 7 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −135, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −2802 books | +2101 book | 8/10 | |
| −2056 books | +1501 book | 7/10 | |
| −1442 books | +1151 book | 7/10 | |
| −1117 books | −1186 books | 7/10 | |
| +1252 books | −1601 book | 6/10 | |
| +1405 books | −2101 book | 5/10 | |
| +2073 books | −2751 book | 4/10 |
Compare 7 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 11.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 11.5 | Under 11.5 |
|---|---|---|
| FanDuel6 hr ago | +100Best | −128 |
| DraftKings6 hr ago | −109 | −117 |
| Bovada6 hr ago | −110 | −120 |
| Pinnacle6 hr ago | −111 | −120 |
| Bally Bet6 hr ago | −118 | — |
| betPARX6 hr ago | −118 | −112Best |
| BetRivers6 hr ago | −120 | −114 |
| PrizePickspick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 9:07 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
11.5No opening line kept for this market yet.
No line history recorded for this market yet.
What moved our number
Pace+2%
This page last updated 9:07 PM ET.