DeMar DeRozan
POR @ DEN · Mon, Nov 2 9:00 PM
Game log against Over 4.5
80%8 of 10L10
Over 4.5 Reb+Ast cleared in 8 of his last 10 games (3 of 4 at home).
Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 2–10.8 reb+ast.
No matchup, rest or pace facts for this line yet: they come with the next publish.
L10 · Over 4.5
- Average
- 6.3
- +1.8 vs line
- Median
- 6
- +1.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 80%
- 8 of 10
- Price implies
- 59%
- at −143
- Books’ fair
- 55%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 63%
- estimate · fair −171
Research, not a pick. At −135 (the best of 6 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −171, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −2801 book | +2051 book | 8/10 | |
| −1436 books | +1054 books | 8/10 | |
| +1351 book | −1801 book | 7/10 |
Compare 6 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 4.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 4.5 | Under 4.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bovada15 hr ago | −135Best | +105 |
| FanDuel15 hr ago | −136 | +106 |
| DraftKings15 hr ago | −139 | +105 |
| Bally Bet15 hr ago | −148 | — |
| betPARX15 hr ago | −148 | +108Best |
| BetRivers15 hr ago | −148 | — |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 9:07 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
4.5No opening line kept for this market yet.
No line history recorded for this market yet.
What moved our number
Pace+2%
This page last updated 9:07 PM ET.