DeMar DeRozan
POR @ DEN · Mon, Nov 2 9:00 PM
Game log against Over 14.5
60%6 of 10L10
Over 14.5 Pts+Ast cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (3 of 4 at home).
Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 5.1–33.6 pts+ast.
No matchup, rest or pace facts for this line yet: they come with the next publish.
L10 · Over 14.5
- Average
- 19.9
- +5.4 vs line
- Median
- 17
- +2.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 60%
- 6 of 10
- Price implies
- 53%
- at −114
- Books’ fair
- 48%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 57%
- estimate · fair −132
Research, not a pick. At −104 (the best of 5 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −132, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −4554 books | — | 8/10 | |
| −1851 book | +1401 book | 7/10 | |
| −1282 books | −1012 books | 6/10 | |
| −1145 books | −1253 books | 6/10 | |
| +2704 books | — | 4/10 | |
| +9701 book | — | 3/10 | |
| +23001 book | — | 2/10 |
Compare 5 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 14.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 14.5 | Under 14.5 |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings11 hr ago | −104Best | −127 |
| Bovada11 hr ago | −105 | −125 |
| BetRivers11 hr ago | −114 | — |
| Bally Bet11 hr ago | −115 | — |
| betPARX11 hr ago | −115 | −118Best |
| PrizePickspick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 9:07 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
14.5No opening line kept for this market yet.
No line history recorded for this market yet.
What moved our number
Pace+2%
This page last updated 9:07 PM ET.