De'Anthony Melton

Golden State Warriors · G · #8

MIA @ GS · Today 10:00 PM

Over Under2.5

Over 2.5 Assists, typical price +1187 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

60%12 of 20L20 · Without Butler

Over 2.5 Assists cleared in 12 of 20 games without Jimmy Butler III (his last 20 games).

at BOS, 2026-03-18: 2, missed, 23 min
at DET, 2026-03-20: 0, missed, 23 min
at ATL, 2026-03-21: 4, cleared, 22 min
at DAL, 2026-03-23: 5, cleared, 23 min
vs BKN, 2026-03-25: 3, cleared, 28 min
at DEN, 2026-03-29: 3, cleared, 25 min
vs CLE, 2026-04-02: 3, cleared, 26 min
vs HOU, 2026-04-05: 4, cleared, 23 min
vs SAC, 2026-04-07: 5, cleared, 29 min
vs LAL, 2026-04-09: 2, missed, 15 min
at SAC, 2026-04-10: 3, cleared, 28 min
at LAC, 2026-04-12: 2, missed, 19 min
at LAL, 2026-10-21: 2, missed, 21 min
vs MEM, 2026-10-23: 0, missed, 20 min
at PHX, 2026-10-24: 5, cleared, 27 min
at DEN, 2026-10-26: 3, cleared, 19 min
at MIN, 2026-10-28: 0, missed, 20 min
vs LAL, 2026-10-30: 3, cleared, 21 min
vs LAC, 2026-11-01: 3, cleared, 28 min
vs PHX, 2026-11-02: 2, missed, 28 min

ClearedMissedThe 2.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

What's different today

Over 2.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TodayTeammate out
Jimmy Butler III: Out (knee)
Over 2.5 without him: 23 of 41; with him: 3 of 16 (57 games as teammates)
TodayDefense vs guards
MIA allow 18.3 assists a game to guards: the most of 30
8 games
Teammate out
Kristaps Porzingis: Out (illness)
Over 2.5 without him: 9 of 19; with him: 8 of 12 (31 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Moses Moody: Out (knee)
Over 2.5 without him: 13 of 23; with him: 13 of 34 (57 games as teammates)

Splits

Over 2.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

No game against MIA in his last 20; Over 2.5 cleared in 1 of 1 against MIA on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 2.5 · L20

Stephen CurryG
Yaxel LendeborgF
Jimmy Butler IIIFOut
Kristaps PorzingisCOut
Moses MoodyGOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Warriors count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs MIA

Melton didn't play the Jan 19 meeting; assists the last time Melton faced them: 5 (Dec 25, 2023)

Over 2.5 hit in 1 of 1 games against MIA on record

L20 · Without Butler · Over 2.5

Average: 2.7; +0.2 vs line
Median: 3; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 12 of 20
Price implies: 46%; at +118
Books’ fair: 42%; margin removed
Minutes: 23.4; 20 games · 23 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 2.5 42%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L20 · Without Butler

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L20
−20002 books	—	17/20
−2305 books	+1701 book	17/20
+1187 books	−1626 books	12/20
+2705 books	—	5/20
+5506 books	—	3/20
+11002 books	—	0/20
+25002 books	—	0/20

Compare 7 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 2.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 2.5 Assists, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 2.5	Under 2.5
Bovada8 min ago	+130Best	−170
DraftKings4 min ago	+128	−170
Pinnacle4 min ago	+120	−160
Bally Bet4 min ago	+118	—
betPARX3 min ago	+118	−162
BetRivers3 min ago	+118	−162
FanDuel3 min ago	+118	−158Best
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 6:05 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

2.5

+120 → +118 since first seen

De'Anthony Melton's full game log and splits