De'Anthony Melton

Golden State Warriors · G · #8

MIA @ GS · Today 10:00 PM

Over Under14.5

Over 14.5 Pts+Reb, typical price −1076 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

40%8 of 20L20 · Without Butler

Over 14.5 Pts+Reb cleared in 8 of 20 games without Jimmy Butler III (his last 20 games).

at BOS, 2026-03-18: 6, missed, 23 min
at DET, 2026-03-20: 18, cleared, 23 min
at ATL, 2026-03-21: 22, cleared, 22 min
at DAL, 2026-03-23: 6, missed, 23 min
vs BKN, 2026-03-25: 23, cleared, 28 min
at DEN, 2026-03-29: 1, missed, 25 min
vs CLE, 2026-04-02: 11, missed, 26 min
vs HOU, 2026-04-05: 7, missed, 23 min
vs SAC, 2026-04-07: 25, cleared, 29 min
vs LAL, 2026-04-09: 5, missed, 15 min
at SAC, 2026-04-10: 21, cleared, 28 min
at LAC, 2026-04-12: 7, missed, 19 min
at LAL, 2026-10-21: 2, missed, 21 min
vs MEM, 2026-10-23: 11, missed, 20 min
at PHX, 2026-10-24: 30, cleared, 27 min
at DEN, 2026-10-26: 7, missed, 19 min
at MIN, 2026-10-28: 14, missed, 20 min
vs LAL, 2026-10-30: 21, cleared, 21 min
vs LAC, 2026-11-01: 27, cleared, 28 min
vs PHX, 2026-11-02: 9, missed, 28 min

ClearedMissedThe 14.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

What's different today

Over 14.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TodayTeammate out
Jimmy Butler III: Out (knee)
Over 14.5 without him: 22 of 41; with him: 7 of 16 (57 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Kristaps Porzingis: Out (illness)
Over 14.5 without him: 10 of 19; with him: 5 of 12 (31 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Moses Moody: Out (knee)
Over 14.5 without him: 11 of 23; with him: 18 of 34 (57 games as teammates)
Minutes
Last 5: 23.2 min · 2026–27: 23 (8 games)

Splits

Over 14.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

No game against MIA in his last 20; Over 14.5 cleared in 1 of 1 against MIA on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 14.5 · L20

Stephen CurryG
Yaxel LendeborgF
Jimmy Butler IIIFOut
Kristaps PorzingisCOut
Moses MoodyGOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Warriors count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs MIA

Melton didn't play the Jan 19 meeting; pts+reb the last time Melton faced them: 22 (Dec 25, 2023)

Over 14.5 hit in 1 of 1 games against MIA on record

L20 · Without Butler · Over 14.5

Average: 13.7; −0.8 vs line
Median: 11; −3.5 vs line
Hit rate: 40%; 8 of 20
Price implies: 52%; at −107
Books’ fair: 48%; margin removed
Minutes: 23.4; 20 games · 23 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 14.5 48%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L20 · Without Butler

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L20
−3755 books	—	11/20
−1901 book	+1451 book	9/20
−1451 book	+1101 book	9/20
−1076 books	−1274 books	8/20
+2555 books	—	7/20
+8302 books	—	3/20
+20002 books	—	1/20

Compare 6 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 14.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 14.5 Pts+Reb, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 14.5	Under 14.5
FanDuel4 min ago	+100Best	−132
Bally Bet5 min ago	−107	—
betPARX4 min ago	−107	−127
BetRivers4 min ago	−107	—
Bovada10 min ago	−110	−120
DraftKings5 min ago	−110	−119Best
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 2:00 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

14.5

13.5 → 14.5 since first seen

De'Anthony Melton's full game log and splits