De'Anthony Melton
MIA @ GS · Today 10:00 PMGame log against Over 12.5
40%8 of 20L20 · Without Butler
Over 12.5 Pts+Ast cleared in 8 of 20 games without Jimmy Butler III (his last 20 games).
What's different today
Over 12.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTodayTeammate out
Jimmy Butler III: Out (knee)
Over 12.5 without him: 25 of 41; with him: 7 of 16 (57 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Kristaps Porzingis: Out (illness)
Over 12.5 without him: 11 of 19; with him: 6 of 12 (31 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Moses Moody: Out (knee)
Over 12.5 without him: 12 of 23; with him: 20 of 34 (57 games as teammates)
Minutes
Last 5: 23.2 min · 2026–27: 23 (8 games)
Splits
Over 12.5 · L20 · counts, not in orderNo game against MIA in his last 20; Over 12.5 cleared in 1 of 1 against MIA on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Over 12.5 · L20Stephen CurryG
Yaxel LendeborgF
Jimmy Butler IIIFOut
Kristaps PorzingisCOut
Moses MoodyGOut
The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Warriors count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs MIA
Melton didn't play the Jan 19 meeting; pts+ast the last time Melton faced them: 20 (Dec 25, 2023)
Over 12.5 hit in 1 of 1 games against MIA on record
L20 · Without Butler · Over 12.5
- Average
- 12.4
- −0.2 vs line
- Median
- 9
- −3.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 40%
- 8 of 20
- Price implies
- 56%
- at −125
- Books’ fair
- 52%
- margin removed
- Minutes
- 23.4
- 20 games · 23 in 2025–26
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 12.5 52%.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L20 · Without Butler| Line | Over | Under | L20 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −36001 book | — | 16/20 | |
| −2785 books | — | 10/20 | |
| −1701 book | +1301 book | 8/20 | |
| −1253 books | −1053 books | 8/20 | |
| +1004 books | −1362 books | 8/20 | |
| +1285 books | — | 7/20 | |
| +4362 books | — | 5/20 |
Compare 3 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 12.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 12.5 | Under 12.5 |
|---|---|---|
| FanDuel3 min ago | −122Best | −108 |
| Bovada9 min ago | −125 | −105Best |
| DraftKings4 min ago | −125 | −105Best |
| PrizePickspick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 2:00 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
12.5Over: −122 → −125 since first seen


