Daniel Gafford

Dallas Mavericks · F · #21

UTAH @ DAL · Today 8:00 PM

Over Under7.5

Over 7.5 Rebounds, typical price +1026 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

30%3 of 10L10

Over 7.5 Rebounds cleared in 3 of his last 10 games (2 of 6 at home).

vs ORL, 2026-04-03: 3, missed, 20 min
vs LAL, 2026-04-05: 7, missed, 20 min
at HOU, 2026-10-21: 3, missed, 22 min
at IND, 2026-10-23: 3, missed, 15 min
vs SA, 2026-10-24: 9, cleared, 23 min
at MIA, 2026-10-26: 8, cleared, 26 min
vs OKC, 2026-10-28: 11, cleared, 27 min
vs HOU, 2026-10-30: 7, missed, 29 min
vs SAC, 2026-11-02: 7, missed, 26 min
at SA, 2026-11-04: 4, missed, 18 min

ClearedMissedThe 7.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

What's different today

Over 7.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Dereck Lively II: Out (foot)
Over 7.5 without him: 22 of 59; with him: 2 of 4 (63 games as teammates)
Defense vs forwards
UTAH allow 20.9 rebounds a game to forwards: 7th most of 30
8 games
Minutes
Last 5: 25.2 min · 2026–27: 23.3 (8 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 4 at SA

Splits

Over 7.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against UTAH in his last 10; Over 7.5 cleared in 3 of 8 against UTAH on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 7.5 · L10

Cooper FlaggF
Kyrie IrvingGDay-To-Day
Naji MarshallF
Dereck Lively IICOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Mavericks count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs UTAH

Gafford didn't play the Jan 17 meeting; rebounds the last time Gafford faced them: 7 (Jan 8)

Over 7.5 hit in 3 of 8 games against UTAH on record

L10 · Over 7.5

Average: 6.2; −1.3 vs line
Median: 7; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 30%; 3 of 10
Price implies: 50%; at +102
Books’ fair: 46%; margin removed
Minutes: 22.6; 10 games · 21.7 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 7.5 46%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−2655 books	—	6/10
−1577 books	+1163 books	6/10
pick'em only	pick'em only	3/10
+1026 books	−1374 books	3/10
+1556 books	−2401 book	2/10
+2356 books	—	1/10
+3405 books	—	1/10

Compare 6 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 7.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 7.5 Rebounds, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 7.5	Under 7.5
FanDuel3 min ago	+120Best	—
Bovada3 min ago	+105	−135
Bally Bet3 min ago	+102	—
betPARX3 min ago	+102	−137
BetRivers3 min ago	+102	−137
DraftKings4 min ago	+102	−134Best
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 3:55 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

7.5

Over: +112 → +102 since first seen

Daniel Gafford's full game log and splits