Daniel Gafford

Dallas Mavericks · F · #21

UTAH @ DAL · Today 8:00 PM

Over Under8.5

Over 8.5 Reb+Ast, typical price −1376 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

40%4 of 10L10

Over 8.5 Reb+Ast cleared in 4 of his last 10 games (3 of 6 at home).

vs ORL, 2026-04-03: 4, missed, 20 min
vs LAL, 2026-04-05: 7, missed, 20 min
at HOU, 2026-10-21: 4, missed, 22 min
at IND, 2026-10-23: 8, missed, 15 min
vs SA, 2026-10-24: 11, cleared, 23 min
at MIA, 2026-10-26: 11, cleared, 26 min
vs OKC, 2026-10-28: 13, cleared, 27 min
vs HOU, 2026-10-30: 9, cleared, 29 min
vs SAC, 2026-11-02: 7, missed, 26 min
at SA, 2026-11-04: 5, missed, 18 min

ClearedMissedThe 8.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

What's different today

Over 8.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Dereck Lively II: Out (foot)
Over 8.5 without him: 23 of 59; with him: 3 of 4 (63 games as teammates)
Minutes
Last 5: 25.2 min · 2026–27: 23.3 (8 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 4 at SA
Game lines
DAL −6.5 · total 225.5 (8 sportsbooks)
DAL's games this season closed at 231.5 on average (8 games)

Splits

Over 8.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against UTAH in his last 10; Over 8.5 cleared in 4 of 8 against UTAH on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 8.5 · L10

Cooper FlaggF
Kyrie IrvingGDay-To-Day
Naji MarshallF
Dereck Lively IICOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Mavericks count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs UTAH

Gafford didn't play the Jan 17 meeting; reb+ast the last time Gafford faced them: 7 (Jan 8)

Over 8.5 hit in 4 of 8 games against UTAH on record

L10 · Over 8.5

Average: 7.9; −0.6 vs line
Median: 7.5; −1 vs line
Hit rate: 40%; 4 of 10
Price implies: 58%; at −137
Books’ fair: 54%; margin removed
Minutes: 22.6; 10 games · 21.7 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 8.5 54%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−14305 books	—	8/10
−2302 books	+1601 book	5/10
−1376 books	+1024 books	4/10
pick'em only	pick'em only	3/10
+1085 books	−1601 book	3/10
+2451 book	—	1/10
+8002 books	—	0/10

Compare 6 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 8.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 8.5 Reb+Ast, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 8.5	Under 8.5
Bovada2 min ago	−130Best	+100
FanDuel1 min ago	−136	+102
Bally Bet2 min ago	−137	—
betPARX1 min ago	−137	+102
BetRiversjust now	−137	—
DraftKings2 min ago	−142	+108Best
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 2:25 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

8.5

9.5 → 8.5 since first seen

Daniel Gafford's full game log and splits