Daniel Gafford
UTAH @ DAL · Today 8:00 PM
Game log against Over 9.5
30%3 of 10L10
Over 9.5 Points cleared in 3 of his last 10 games (3 of 6 at home).
What's different today
Over 9.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTodayDefense vs forwards
UTAH allow 49.9 points a game to forwards: 3rd most of 30
8 games
Teammate out
Dereck Lively II: Out (foot)
Over 9.5 without him: 23 of 59; with him: 2 of 4 (63 games as teammates)
Minutes
Last 5: 25.2 min · 2026–27: 23.3 (8 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 4 at SA
Splits
Over 9.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against UTAH in his last 10; Over 9.5 cleared in 5 of 8 against UTAH on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Over 9.5 · L10Cooper FlaggF
Kyrie IrvingG
Naji MarshallF
Dereck Lively IICOut
The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Mavericks count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs UTAH
Gafford didn't play the Jan 17 meeting; points the last time Gafford faced them: 0 (Jan 8)
Over 9.5 hit in 5 of 8 games against UTAH on record
L10 · Over 9.5
- Average
- 8.7
- −0.8 vs line
- Median
- 7
- −2.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 30%
- 3 of 10
- Price implies
- 52%
- at −107
- Books’ fair
- 49%
- margin removed
- Minutes
- 22.6
- 10 games · 21.7 in 2025–26
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 9.5 49%.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −4804 books | — | 7/10 | |
| −2105 books | +1651 book | 4/10 | |
| −1324 books | −1033 books | 3/10 | |
| −1077 books | −1204 books | 3/10 | |
| +1251 book | −1651 book | 3/10 | |
| +1705 books | −2201 book | 3/10 | |
| +2903 books | — | 2/10 |
Compare 7 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 9.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 9.5 | Under 9.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle3 min ago | −104Best | −127 |
| Bally Bet3 min ago | −107 | — |
| betPARX3 min ago | −107 | — |
| BetRivers3 min ago | −107 | — |
| DraftKings3 min ago | −109 | −117 |
| Bovada3 min ago | −110 | −120 |
| FanDuel3 min ago | −118 | −112Best |
| PrizePickspick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 1:20 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
9.5Over: −118 → −107 since first seen