Daniel Gafford

Dallas Mavericks · F · #21

UTAH @ DAL · Today 8:00 PM

Over Under2.5

Over 2.5 Steals+Blocks, typical price +1603 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

60%6 of 10L10

Over 2.5 Steals+Blocks cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (3 of 6 at home).

vs ORL, 2026-04-03: 4, cleared, 20 min
vs LAL, 2026-04-05: 4, cleared, 20 min
at HOU, 2026-10-21: 3, cleared, 22 min
at IND, 2026-10-23: 2, missed, 15 min
vs SA, 2026-10-24: 5, cleared, 23 min
at MIA, 2026-10-26: 4, cleared, 26 min
vs OKC, 2026-10-28: 2, missed, 27 min
vs HOU, 2026-10-30: 2, missed, 29 min
vs SAC, 2026-11-02: 2, missed, 26 min
at SA, 2026-11-04: 3, cleared, 18 min

ClearedMissedThe 2.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

What's different today

Over 2.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Dereck Lively II: Out (foot)
Over 2.5 without him: 18 of 59; with him: 3 of 4 (63 games as teammates)
Minutes
Last 5: 25.2 min · 2026–27: 23.3 (8 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 4 at SA
Game lines
DAL −6.5 · total 225.5 (8 sportsbooks)
DAL's games this season closed at 231.5 on average (8 games)

Splits

Over 2.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against UTAH in his last 10; Over 2.5 cleared in 3 of 8 against UTAH on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 2.5 · L10

Cooper FlaggF
Kyrie IrvingGDay-To-Day
Naji MarshallF
Dereck Lively IICOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Mavericks count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs UTAH

Gafford didn't play the Jan 17 meeting; steals+blocks the last time Gafford faced them: 0 (Jan 8)

Over 2.5 hit in 3 of 8 games against UTAH on record

L10 · Over 2.5

Average: 3.1; +0.6 vs line
Median: 3; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 6 of 10
Price implies: 38%; at +160
Books’ fair: —; needs both sides
Minutes: 22.6; 10 games · 21.7 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−8353 books	—	10/10
−1773 books	+1281 book	10/10
+1603 books	—	6/10
+3603 books	—	4/10

Compare 3 sportsbooks at 2.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 2.5 Steals+Blocks, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 2.5	Under 2.5
Bally Bet3 min ago	+160Best	—
betPARX2 min ago	+160Best	—
BetRivers2 min ago	+160Best	—

Prices as of 5:20 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

2.5

1.5 → 2.5 since first seen

Daniel Gafford's full game log and splits