Daniel Gafford

Dallas Mavericks · F · #21

UTAH @ DAL · Today 8:00 PM

Over Under1.5

Over 1.5 Assists, typical price −1366 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

50%5 of 10L10

Over 1.5 Assists cleared in 5 of his last 10 games (3 of 6 at home).

vs ORL, 2026-04-03: 1, missed, 20 min
vs LAL, 2026-04-05: 0, missed, 20 min
at HOU, 2026-10-21: 1, missed, 22 min
at IND, 2026-10-23: 5, cleared, 15 min
vs SA, 2026-10-24: 2, cleared, 23 min
at MIA, 2026-10-26: 3, cleared, 26 min
vs OKC, 2026-10-28: 2, cleared, 27 min
vs HOU, 2026-10-30: 2, cleared, 29 min
vs SAC, 2026-11-02: 0, missed, 26 min
at SA, 2026-11-04: 1, missed, 18 min

ClearedMissedThe 1.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

What's different today

Over 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Dereck Lively II: Out (foot)
Over 1.5 without him: 18 of 59; with him: 3 of 4 (63 games as teammates)
Defense vs forwards
UTAH allow 6.6 assists a game to forwards: 26th most of 30
8 games
Minutes
Last 5: 25.2 min · 2026–27: 23.3 (8 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 4 at SA

Splits

Over 1.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against UTAH in his last 10; Over 1.5 cleared in 4 of 8 against UTAH on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 1.5 · L10

Cooper FlaggF
Kyrie IrvingG
Naji MarshallF
Dereck Lively IICOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Mavericks count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs UTAH

Gafford didn't play the Jan 17 meeting; assists the last time Gafford faced them: 0 (Jan 8)

Over 1.5 hit in 4 of 8 games against UTAH on record

L10 · Over 1.5

Average: 1.7; +0.2 vs line
Median: 1.5; ±0 vs line
Hit rate: 50%; 5 of 10
Price implies: 58%; at −136
Books’ fair: 52%; margin removed
Minutes: 22.6; 10 games · 21.7 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 1.5 52%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−6254 books	—	8/10
−1366 books	−1134 books	5/10
+2055 books	—	2/10
+4805 books	—	1/10
+14002 books	—	1/10
+29001 book	—	0/10
+40001 book	—	0/10

Compare 6 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 1.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 1.5 Assists, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 1.5	Under 1.5
Bovada5 min ago	−115Best	−115
DraftKings5 min ago	−116	−113
BetRivers1 min ago	−134	−103
Bally Bet5 min ago	−136	—
betPARX3 min ago	−136	+100Best
FanDuel2 min ago	−158	—
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 11:39 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

1.5

Over: −158 → −136 since first seen

Daniel Gafford's full game log and splits