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Damian Lillard

Portland Trail Blazers · G · #0

POR @ PHX · Tomorrow 9:00 PM
OverUnder21.5
Over 21.5 Points, typical price −1081 sportsbook · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tomorrow

Over 21.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

  • TomorrowTeammate out

    Shaedon Sharpe: Out (knee)

    Over 21.5 without him: 2 of 6; with him: no games (6 games as teammates)

  • TomorrowDefense vs guards

    PHX allow 72.0 points a game to guards: the most of 30

    5 games

  • Teammate out

    Ja Morant: Out (hamstring)

    Over 21.5 without him: 1 of 2; with him: 1 of 4 (6 games as teammates). A small sample.

  • Minutes

    Last 5: 30.2 min · 2024–25: 35.5 (62 games)

Game log against Over 21.5

33%2 of 6L20 · Without Sharpe

Over 21.5 Points cleared in 2 of 6 games without Shaedon Sharpe (his last 20 games).

  1. vs DEN, 2025-02-27: 19, missed, 35 min (not counted)
  2. at DAL, 2025-03-01: 28, cleared, 36 min (not counted)
  3. at ATL, 2025-03-04: 23, cleared, 36 min (not counted)
  4. vs DAL, 2025-03-05: 34, cleared, 27 min (not counted)
  5. vs ORL, 2025-03-08: 26, cleared, 36 min (not counted)
  6. vs CLE, 2025-03-09: 22, cleared, 35 min (not counted)
  7. at IND, 2025-03-11: 15, missed, 37 min (not counted)
  8. vs LAL, 2025-03-13: 22, cleared, 34 min (not counted)
  9. vs IND, 2025-03-15: 25, cleared, 37 min (not counted)
  10. vs OKC, 2025-03-16: 19, missed, 29 min (not counted)
  11. at GS, 2025-03-18: 16, missed, 38 min (not counted)
  12. at IND, 2025-04-22: 14, missed, 37 min (not counted)
  13. vs IND, 2025-04-25: 7, missed, 32 min (not counted)
  14. vs IND, 2025-04-27: 0, missed, 6 min (not counted)
  15. vs PHX, 2026-10-21: 25, cleared, 24 min
  16. at SAC, 2026-10-23: 19, missed, 33 min
  17. at LAL, 2026-10-27: 21, missed, 31 min
  18. vs MEM, 2026-10-29: 9, missed, 30 min
  19. at UTAH, 2026-10-31: 22, cleared, 27 min
  20. at DEN, 2026-11-02: 20, missed, 30 min
ClearedMissedThe 21.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Splits

Over 21.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 21.5 · L20

  • Deni AvdijaF

  • Shaedon SharpeGOut

  • Jrue HolidayG

  • Ja MorantGOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tomorrow. Only games they were teammates on the Trail Blazers count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs PHX

Points: 25 in 24 min, Oct 21 (home)

Over 21.5 hit in 2 of 2 games against PHX on record

L20 · Without Sharpe · Over 21.5

Average
19.3
−2.2 vs line
Median
20.5
−1 vs line
Hit rate
33%
2 of 6
Price implies
52%
at −108
Books’ fair
49%
margin removed
Minutes
29.2
6 games · 35.5 in 2024–25

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 21.5 49%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L20 · Without Sharpe
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL20
−2371 book—5/6
−1702 books—4/6
−1241 book−1031 book3/6
−1081 book−1221 book2/6
+1772 books—1/6
+4502 books—0/6
+11002 books—0/6
Compare 1 sportsbook and 2 pick'em apps at 21.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 21.5 Points, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 21.5Under 21.5
FanDuel5 min ago−108Best−122Best
PrizePickspick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 11:51 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

21.5

+102 → −108 since first seen

Damian Lillard's full game log and splits