Alperen Sengun
BOS @ HOU · Mon, Nov 2 8:30 PM
Game log against Over 0.5
60%6 of 10L10
Over 0.5 Steals cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (3 of 6 at home).
Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 0–3 steals.
No matchup, rest or pace facts for this line yet: they come with the next publish.
L10 · Over 0.5
- Average
- 1.7
- +1.2 vs line
- Median
- 1
- +0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 60%
- 6 of 10
- Price implies
- 67%
- at −205
- Books’ fair
- 63%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 65%
- estimate · fair −182
Research, not a pick. At −205 (the best of 3 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −182, so it isn't worth it.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −2053 books | +1481 book | 6/10 | |
| +2203 books | — | 4/10 |
Compare 3 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 0.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet12 hr ago | −205Best | — |
| betPARX12 hr ago | −205Best | +148Best |
| BetRivers12 hr ago | −205Best | — |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 8:37 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
0.5No opening line kept for this market yet.
No line history recorded for this market yet.
What moved our number
Pace−0.6%
This page last updated 8:37 PM ET.