Alperen Sengun

Houston Rockets · C · #28

BOS @ HOUCeltics @ Rockets · Today 8:30 PM ET

The line

Over 13.5 Reb+Ast

−1326 sportsbooksbest −125

Game log

Over 13.5

Over 13.5 Reb+Ast cleared in 8 of his last 10 games (4 of 6 at home).

at LAL: 16, cleared
vs LAL: 22, cleared
vs LAL: 8, missed
at LAL: 17, cleared
vs LAL: 12, missed
vs DAL: 15, cleared
at SA: 14, cleared
at ATL: 18, cleared
vs ATL: 18, cleared
vs OKC: 18, cleared

Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 8.9–21.2 reb+ast.

Home and away

L10 · Over 13.5

Hometonight

67%

4 of 6

Away

100%

4 of 4

L10 · Over 13.5 Reb+Ast

Average: 15.8; +2.3 vs line
Median: 16.5; +3 vs line
Hit rate: 80%; 8 of 10
Price implies: 57%; −132, 6 sportsbooks
Market’s fair: 53%; margin removed
Our chance: 61%; estimate · fair −154

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.

Research, not a pick. At −125 (the best of 6 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −154, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Compare 6 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 13.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 13.5 Reb+Ast, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 13.5	Under 13.5
Bovada10 min ago	−125Best	−105
DraftKings14 min ago	−125Best	−105
Bally Bet10 min ago	−132	—
betPARX10 min ago	−132	−103
BetRivers5 min ago	−132	—
FanDuel5 min ago	−132	+104Best
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 8:22 PM ET.

Every posted line

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−18001 book	—	10/10
−7705 books	—	9/10
−2501 book	—	9/10
−1851 book	+1401 book	8/10
−1326 books	−1044 books	8/10
pick'em only	pick'em only	7/10
+1085 books	−1501 book	7/10
+3201 book	—	4/10
+5255 books	—	1/10
+11001 book	—	1/10
+23412 books	—	0/10