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Alperen Sengun
BOS @ HOUCeltics @ Rockets · Today 8:30 PM ET
The line
Over 23.5 Pts+Ast
Typical price −1076 sportsbooksbest −105
Game log
Over 23.5Over 23.5 Pts+Ast cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (4 of 6 at home).
Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 14.4–38.2 pts+ast.
Home and away
L10 · Over 23.5Hometonight
67%
4 of 6
Away
75%
3 of 4
L10 · Over 23.5 Pts+Ast
- Average
- 27.6
- +4.1 vs line
- Median
- 25
- +1.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 70%
- 7 of 10
- Price implies
- 52%
- −107, 6 sportsbooks
- Market’s fair
- 48%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 56%
- estimate · fair −130
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.
Research, not a pick. At −105 (the best of 6 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −130, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Compare 6 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 23.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 23.5 | Under 23.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bovada9 min ago | −105Best | −125 |
| FanDuel4 min ago | −106 | −125 |
| Bally Bet10 min ago | −107 | — |
| betPARX10 min ago | −107 | −127 |
| BetRivers4 min ago | −107 | — |
| DraftKings14 min ago | −112 | −118Best |
| PrizePickspick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 8:22 PM ET.
Every posted line
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −12312 books | — | 10/10 | |
| −2655 books | — | 9/10 | |
| −1601 book | +1201 book | 8/10 | |
| −1301 book | +1001 book | 7/10 | |
| −1076 books | −1254 books | 7/10 | |
| +1175 books | — | 6/10 | |
| +3105 books | — | 3/10 | |
| +9222 books | — | 3/10 | |
| +23702 books | — | 0/10 |
What moved our number
Pace−0.6%