Alperen Sengun
BOS @ HOU · Mon, Nov 2 8:30 PM
Game log against Over 25.5
70%7 of 10L10
Over 25.5 Pts+Reb cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (4 of 6 at home).
Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 16–42.5 pts+reb.
No matchup, rest or pace facts for this line yet: they come with the next publish.
L10 · Over 25.5
- Average
- 31.6
- +6.1 vs line
- Median
- 29.5
- +4 vs line
- Hit rate
- 70%
- 7 of 10
- Price implies
- 55%
- at −120
- Books’ fair
- 51%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 58%
- estimate · fair −138
Research, not a pick. At −119 (the best of 4 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −138, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −15601 book | — | 10/10 | |
| −4354 books | — | 10/10 | |
| −1434 books | — | 9/10 | |
| −1204 books | −1122 books | 7/10 | |
| +1001 book | −1281 book | 7/10 | |
| +1804 books | — | 5/10 | |
| +4204 books | — | 3/10 |
Compare 4 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 25.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 25.5 | Under 25.5 |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings21 hr ago | −119Best | −111Best |
| Bally Bet21 hr ago | −120 | — |
| betPARX21 hr ago | −120 | −114 |
| BetRivers21 hr ago | −120 | — |
| PrizePickspick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 8:37 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
25.5No opening line kept for this market yet.
No line history recorded for this market yet.
What moved our number
Pace−0.6%
This page last updated 8:37 PM ET.