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Alperen Sengun
BOS @ HOUCeltics @ Rockets · Today 8:30 PM ET
The line
Over 31.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
Typical price −1156 sportsbooksbest −114
Game log
Over 31.5Over 31.5 Pts+Reb+Ast cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (4 of 6 at home).
Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 20.8–49.8 pts+reb+ast.
Home and away
L10 · Over 31.5Hometonight
67%
4 of 6
Away
75%
3 of 4
L10 · Over 31.5 Pts+Reb+Ast
- Average
- 37.5
- +6 vs line
- Median
- 35.5
- +4 vs line
- Hit rate
- 70%
- 7 of 10
- Price implies
- 53%
- −115, 6 sportsbooks
- Market’s fair
- 50%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 58%
- estimate · fair −138
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.
Research, not a pick. At −114 (the best of 6 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −138, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Compare 6 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 31.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 31.5 | Under 31.5 |
|---|---|---|
| BetRiversjust now | −114Best | −120 |
| DraftKings4 min ago | −114Best | −116 |
| Bally Bet4 min ago | −115 | — |
| betPARX4 min ago | −115 | −115 |
| Bovada11 min ago | −115 | −115 |
| FanDuel1 min ago | −115 | −108Best |
| PrizePickspick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 8:27 PM ET.
Every posted line
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −20092 books | — | 10/10 | |
| −4805 books | — | 10/10 | |
| −1655 books | +1251 book | 8/10 | |
| −1351 book | +1051 book | 8/10 | |
| −1156 books | −1155 books | 7/10 | |
| −1012 books | −1292 books | 7/10 | |
| +1201 book | −1601 book | 7/10 | |
| +1455 books | — | 6/10 | |
| +3305 books | — | 3/10 | |
| +8032 books | — | 2/10 | |
| +16592 books | — | 1/10 |
What moved our number
Pace−0.6%