Ajay Mitchell

Oklahoma City Thunder · G · #25

CLE @ OKC · Tomorrow 8:00 PM

Over Under3.5

Over 3.5 Rebounds, typical price −1255 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 3.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TonightTeammate out
Jalen Williams: Out (leg)
Over 3.5 without him: 18 of 40; with him: 16 of 45 (85 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Chet Holmgren: Out (knee)
Over 3.5 without him: 5 of 12; with him: 29 of 73 (85 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Cason Wallace: Out (shoulder)
Over 3.5 without him: 2 of 6; with him: 32 of 79 (85 games as teammates)
Defense vs guards
CLE allow 17.0 rebounds a game to guards: 8th most of 30
7 games

50%6 of 12L20 · Without Williams

Over 3.5 Rebounds cleared in 6 of 12 games without Jalen Williams (his last 20 games).

at LAL, 2026-04-07: 3, missed, 21 min
at LAC, 2026-04-08: 1, missed, 24 min (not counted)
vs PHX, 2026-04-19: 5, cleared, 22 min (not counted)
vs PHX, 2026-04-22: 5, cleared, 29 min (not counted)
at PHX, 2026-04-25: 6, cleared, 32 min
at PHX, 2026-04-27: 4, cleared, 34 min
vs LAL, 2026-05-05: 2, missed, 28 min
vs LAL, 2026-05-07: 3, missed, 30 min
at LAL, 2026-05-09: 4, cleared, 30 min
at LAL, 2026-05-11: 3, missed, 33 min
vs SA, 2026-05-18: 4, cleared, 34 min (not counted)
vs SA, 2026-05-20: 0, missed, 28 min (not counted)
at SA, 2026-05-22: 5, cleared, 17 min
at SA, 2026-10-20: 5, cleared, 23 min (not counted)
vs DEN, 2026-10-22: 0, missed, 23 min (not counted)
vs LAC, 2026-10-25: 6, cleared, 28 min (not counted)
vs PHX, 2026-10-26: 2, missed, 25 min
at DAL, 2026-10-28: 4, cleared, 28 min
at HOU, 2026-10-31: 3, missed, 26 min
at CLE, 2026-11-02: 5, cleared, 35 min

ClearedMissedThe 3.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Splits

Over 3.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 3.5 · L20

Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderG
Jalen WilliamsGOut
Chet HolmgrenCOut
Cason WallaceGOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Thunder count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs CLE

Rebounds: 5 in 35 min, Nov 2 (away)

Over 3.5 hit in 1 of 2 games against CLE on record

L20 · Without Williams · Over 3.5

Average: 3.7; +0.2 vs line
Median: 3.5; ±0 vs line
Hit rate: 50%; 6 of 12
Price implies: 56%; at −125
Books’ fair: 52%; margin removed
Minutes: 28.3; 12 games · 26.3 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 3.5 52%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L20 · Without Williams

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L20
−11153 books	—	12/12
−2871 book	—	10/12
−1255 books	−1074 books	6/12
+1701 book	—	3/12
+3204 books	—	1/12
+13001 book	—	0/12
+20001 book	—	0/12

Compare 5 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 3.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 3.5 Rebounds, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 3.5	Under 3.5
betPARX5 min ago	−124Best	−108
DraftKings11 min ago	−124Best	−106Best
Bally Bet3 min ago	−125	—
BetRivers5 min ago	−125	−109
FanDuel3 min ago	−125	−106Best
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 9:48 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

3.5

Over −122 → −125 since first seen

Ajay Mitchell's full game log and splits