Ajay Mitchell

Oklahoma City Thunder · G · #25

CLE @ OKC · Live

Over Under4.5

Over 4.5 Assists, typical price +1404 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

42%5 of 12L20 · Without Jalen Williams

Over 4.5 Assists cleared in 5 of 12 games without Jalen Williams (his last 20 games).

at LAL, 2026-04-07: 3, missed, 21 min
at LAC, 2026-04-08: 3, missed, 24 min (not counted)
vs PHX, 2026-04-19: 2, missed, 22 min (not counted)
vs PHX, 2026-04-22: 5, cleared, 29 min (not counted)
at PHX, 2026-04-25: 2, missed, 32 min
at PHX, 2026-04-27: 6, cleared, 34 min
vs LAL, 2026-05-05: 4, missed, 28 min
vs LAL, 2026-05-07: 6, cleared, 30 min
at LAL, 2026-05-09: 10, cleared, 30 min
at LAL, 2026-05-11: 4, missed, 33 min
vs SA, 2026-05-18: 5, cleared, 34 min (not counted)
vs SA, 2026-05-20: 2, missed, 28 min (not counted)
at SA, 2026-05-22: 1, missed, 17 min
at SA, 2026-10-20: 6, cleared, 23 min (not counted)
vs DEN, 2026-10-22: 0, missed, 23 min (not counted)
vs LAC, 2026-10-25: 4, missed, 28 min (not counted)
vs PHX, 2026-10-26: 5, cleared, 25 min
at DAL, 2026-10-28: 3, missed, 28 min
at HOU, 2026-10-31: 5, cleared, 26 min
at CLE, 2026-11-02: 1, missed, 35 min

ClearedMissedThe 4.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

What's different today

Over 4.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TodayTeammate out
Jalen Williams: Out (leg)
Over 4.5 without him: 11 of 40; with him: 11 of 45 (85 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Chet Holmgren: Out (knee)
Over 4.5 without him: 5 of 12; with him: 17 of 73 (85 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Cason Wallace: Out (shoulder)
Over 4.5 without him: 3 of 6; with him: 19 of 79 (85 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Jaylin Williams: Out (back)
Over 4.5 without him: 4 of 16; with him: 18 of 69 (85 games as teammates)

Splits

Over 4.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 4.5 · L20

Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderG
Jalen WilliamsGOut
Chet HolmgrenCOut
Cason WallaceGOut
Jaylin WilliamsFOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Thunder count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs CLE

Assists: 1 in 35 min, Nov 2 (away)

Over 4.5 hit in 1 of 2 games against CLE on record

L20 · Without Jalen Williams · Over 4.5

Average: 4.2; −0.3 vs line
Median: 4; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 42%; 5 of 12
Price implies: 42%; at +140
Books’ fair: —; needs both sides
Minutes: 28.3; 12 games · 26.3 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L20 · Without Jalen Williams

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L20
−16671 book	—	10/12
−3874 books	—	9/12
−1523 books	+1152 books	7/12
+1404 books	—	5/12
+2752 books	—	3/12
+5004 books	—	1/12
+9002 books	—	1/12

Compare 4 sportsbooks at 4.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 4.5 Assists, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 4.5	Under 4.5
FanDuel3 hr ago	+154Best	—
DraftKings3 hr ago	+141	—
Bally Bet3 hr ago	+140	—
Bovada3 hr ago	+115	—

Prices as of 8:11 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

4.5

+125 → +140 since first seen

Ajay Mitchell's full game log and splits

This page last updated 8:13 PM ET.