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Ajay Mitchell

Oklahoma City Thunder · G · #25

CLE @ OKC · Tomorrow 8:00 PM
OverUnder1.5
Over 1.5 3-Pointers Made, typical price +1454 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

  • TonightTeammate out

    Jalen Williams: Out (leg)

    Over 1.5 without him: 14 of 40; with him: 10 of 45 (85 games as teammates)

  • Teammate out

    Chet Holmgren: Out (knee)

    Over 1.5 without him: 4 of 12; with him: 20 of 73 (85 games as teammates)

  • Teammate out

    Cason Wallace: Out (shoulder)

    Over 1.5 without him: 2 of 6; with him: 22 of 79 (85 games as teammates)

  • Defense vs guards

    CLE allow 7.7 threes made a game to guards: 13th most of 30

    7 games

Game log against Over 1.5

25%3 of 12L20 · Without Williams

Over 1.5 3-Pointers Made cleared in 3 of 12 games without Jalen Williams (his last 20 games).

  1. at LAL, 2026-04-07: 1, missed, 21 min
  2. at LAC, 2026-04-08: 0, missed, 24 min (not counted)
  3. vs PHX, 2026-04-19: 3, cleared, 22 min (not counted)
  4. vs PHX, 2026-04-22: 1, missed, 29 min (not counted)
  5. at PHX, 2026-04-25: 1, missed, 32 min
  6. at PHX, 2026-04-27: 4, cleared, 34 min
  7. vs LAL, 2026-05-05: 1, missed, 28 min
  8. vs LAL, 2026-05-07: 0, missed, 30 min
  9. at LAL, 2026-05-09: 2, cleared, 30 min
  10. at LAL, 2026-05-11: 1, missed, 33 min
  11. vs SA, 2026-05-18: 0, missed, 34 min (not counted)
  12. vs SA, 2026-05-20: 0, missed, 28 min (not counted)
  13. at SA, 2026-05-22: 0, missed, 17 min
  14. at SA, 2026-10-20: 0, missed, 23 min (not counted)
  15. vs DEN, 2026-10-22: 0, missed, 23 min (not counted)
  16. vs LAC, 2026-10-25: 1, missed, 28 min (not counted)
  17. vs PHX, 2026-10-26: 1, missed, 25 min
  18. at DAL, 2026-10-28: 2, cleared, 28 min
  19. at HOU, 2026-10-31: 0, missed, 26 min
  20. at CLE, 2026-11-02: 0, missed, 35 min
ClearedMissedThe 1.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Splits

Over 1.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 1.5 · L20

  • Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderG

  • Jalen WilliamsGOut

  • Chet HolmgrenCOut

  • Cason WallaceGOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Thunder count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs CLE

3-Pointers Made: 0 in 35 min, Nov 2 (away)

Over 1.5 hit in 0 of 2 games against CLE on record

L20 · Without Williams · Over 1.5

Average
1.1
−0.4 vs line
Median
1
−0.5 vs line
Hit rate
25%
3 of 12
Price implies
41%
at +145
Books’ fair
38%
margin removed
Minutes
28.3
12 games · 26.3 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 1.5 38%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L20 · Without Williams
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL20
−3154 books—8/12
+1454 books−2003 books3/12
+4254 books—1/12
+12001 book—1/12
Compare 4 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 1.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 1.5 3-Pointers Made, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 1.5Under 1.5
Bally Bet1 min ago+145Best—
betPARX3 min ago+145Best−200
BetRivers3 min ago+145Best−200
FanDuel1 min ago+140−192Best
Sleeperpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 6:19 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

1.5

Over +140 → +145 since first seen

Ajay Mitchell's full game log and splits