Ajay Mitchell

Oklahoma City Thunder · G · #25

CLE @ OKC · Tomorrow 8:00 PM

Over Under22.5

Over 22.5 Pts+Reb, typical price −1301 sportsbook · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 22.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TonightTeammate out
Jalen Williams: Out (leg)
Over 22.5 without him: 13 of 40; with him: 5 of 45 (85 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Chet Holmgren: Out (knee)
Over 22.5 without him: 7 of 12; with him: 11 of 73 (85 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Alex Caruso: Out (ankle)
Over 22.5 without him: 7 of 18; with him: 11 of 67 (85 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Cason Wallace: Out (shoulder)
Over 22.5 without him: 5 of 6; with him: 13 of 79 (85 games as teammates)

58%7 of 12L20 · Without Williams

Over 22.5 Pts+Reb cleared in 7 of 12 games without Jalen Williams (his last 20 games).

at LAL, 2026-04-07: 12, missed, 21 min
at LAC, 2026-04-08: 8, missed, 24 min (not counted)
vs PHX, 2026-04-19: 14, missed, 22 min (not counted)
vs PHX, 2026-04-22: 19, missed, 29 min (not counted)
at PHX, 2026-04-25: 21, missed, 32 min
at PHX, 2026-04-27: 26, cleared, 34 min
vs LAL, 2026-05-05: 20, missed, 28 min
vs LAL, 2026-05-07: 23, cleared, 30 min
at LAL, 2026-05-09: 28, cleared, 30 min
at LAL, 2026-05-11: 31, cleared, 33 min
vs SA, 2026-05-18: 8, missed, 34 min (not counted)
vs SA, 2026-05-20: 10, missed, 28 min (not counted)
at SA, 2026-05-22: 7, missed, 17 min
at SA, 2026-10-20: 9, missed, 23 min (not counted)
vs DEN, 2026-10-22: 12, missed, 23 min (not counted)
vs LAC, 2026-10-25: 24, cleared, 28 min (not counted)
vs PHX, 2026-10-26: 32, cleared, 25 min
at DAL, 2026-10-28: 33, cleared, 28 min
at HOU, 2026-10-31: 9, missed, 26 min
at CLE, 2026-11-02: 25, cleared, 35 min

ClearedMissedThe 22.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Splits

Over 22.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 22.5 · L20

Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderG
Jalen WilliamsGOut
Chet HolmgrenCOut
Alex CarusoGOut
Cason WallaceGOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Thunder count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs CLE

Pts+Reb: 25 in 35 min, Nov 2 (away)

Over 22.5 hit in 1 of 2 games against CLE on record

L20 · Without Williams · Over 22.5

Average: 22.3; −0.2 vs line
Median: 24; +1.5 vs line
Hit rate: 58%; 7 of 12
Price implies: 57%; at −130
Books’ fair: 53%; margin removed
Minutes: 28.3; 12 games · 26.3 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 22.5 53%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L20 · Without Williams

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L20
−2403 books	—	9/12
−1301 book	−1021 book	7/12
−1083 books	−1271 book	6/12
+1143 books	—	6/12
+2753 books	—	3/12

Compare 1 sportsbook and 3 pick'em apps at 22.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 22.5 Pts+Reb, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 22.5	Under 22.5
FanDuel2 min ago	−130Best	−102Best
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 5:13 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

22.5

No move since first seen

Ajay Mitchell's full game log and splits