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Ajay Mitchell

Oklahoma City Thunder · G · #25

CLE @ OKC · Tomorrow 8:00 PM
OverUnder18.5
Over 18.5 Points, typical price −1301 sportsbook · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 18.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

  • TonightTeammate out

    Jalen Williams: Out (leg)

    Over 18.5 without him: 13 of 40; with him: 1 of 45 (85 games as teammates)

  • Teammate out

    Chet Holmgren: Out (knee)

    Over 18.5 without him: 7 of 12; with him: 7 of 73 (85 games as teammates)

  • Teammate out

    Cason Wallace: Out (shoulder)

    Over 18.5 without him: 5 of 6; with him: 9 of 79 (85 games as teammates)

  • Defense vs guards

    CLE allow 61.4 points a game to guards: 8th most of 30

    7 games

Game log against Over 18.5

58%7 of 12L20 · Without Williams

Over 18.5 Points cleared in 7 of 12 games without Jalen Williams (his last 20 games).

  1. at LAL, 2026-04-07: 9, missed, 21 min
  2. at LAC, 2026-04-08: 7, missed, 24 min (not counted)
  3. vs PHX, 2026-04-19: 9, missed, 22 min (not counted)
  4. vs PHX, 2026-04-22: 14, missed, 29 min (not counted)
  5. at PHX, 2026-04-25: 15, missed, 32 min
  6. at PHX, 2026-04-27: 22, cleared, 34 min
  7. vs LAL, 2026-05-05: 18, missed, 28 min
  8. vs LAL, 2026-05-07: 20, cleared, 30 min
  9. at LAL, 2026-05-09: 24, cleared, 30 min
  10. at LAL, 2026-05-11: 28, cleared, 33 min
  11. vs SA, 2026-05-18: 4, missed, 34 min (not counted)
  12. vs SA, 2026-05-20: 10, missed, 28 min (not counted)
  13. at SA, 2026-05-22: 2, missed, 17 min
  14. at SA, 2026-10-20: 4, missed, 23 min (not counted)
  15. vs DEN, 2026-10-22: 12, missed, 23 min (not counted)
  16. vs LAC, 2026-10-25: 18, missed, 28 min (not counted)
  17. vs PHX, 2026-10-26: 30, cleared, 25 min
  18. at DAL, 2026-10-28: 29, cleared, 28 min
  19. at HOU, 2026-10-31: 6, missed, 26 min
  20. at CLE, 2026-11-02: 20, cleared, 35 min
ClearedMissedThe 18.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Splits

Over 18.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 18.5 · L20

  • Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderG

  • Jalen WilliamsGOut

  • Chet HolmgrenCOut

  • Cason WallaceGOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Thunder count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs CLE

Points: 20 in 35 min, Nov 2 (away)

Over 18.5 hit in 1 of 2 games against CLE on record

L20 · Without Williams · Over 18.5

Average
18.6
+0.1 vs line
Median
20
+1.5 vs line
Hit rate
58%
7 of 12
Price implies
57%
at −130
Books’ fair
53%
margin removed
Minutes
28.3
12 games · 26.3 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 18.5 53%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L20 · Without Williams
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL20
−3601 book—9/12
−2753 books—8/12
−1673 books—8/12
−1301 book−1021 book7/12
−1104 books−1212 books7/12
+1383 books—5/12
+2053 books—4/12
Compare 1 sportsbook and 3 pick'em apps at 18.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 18.5 Points, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 18.5Under 18.5
FanDuel6 min ago−130Best−102Best
PrizePickspick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 7:44 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

18.5

19.5 → 18.5 since first seen

Ajay Mitchell's full game log and splits