Ajay Mitchell
CLE @ OKC · Today 8:00 PMWhat's different today
Over 27.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTodayTeammate out
Jalen Williams: Out (leg)
Over 27.5 without him: 12 of 40; with him: 3 of 45 (85 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Chet Holmgren: Out (knee)
Over 27.5 without him: 5 of 12; with him: 10 of 73 (85 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Cason Wallace: Out (shoulder)
Over 27.5 without him: 4 of 6; with him: 11 of 79 (85 games as teammates)
Defense vs guards
CLE allow 94.1 points + rebounds + assists a game to guards: 7th most of 30
7 games
Game log against Over 27.5
50%6 of 12L20 · Without Williams
Over 27.5 Pts+Reb+Ast cleared in 6 of 12 games without Jalen Williams (his last 20 games).
Splits
Over 27.5 · L20 · counts, not in orderTap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Over 27.5 · L20Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderG
Jalen WilliamsGOut
Chet HolmgrenCOut
Cason WallaceGOut
The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Thunder count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs CLE
Pts+Reb+Ast: 26 in 35 min, Nov 2 (away)
Over 27.5 hit in 0 of 2 games against CLE on record
L20 · Without Williams · Over 27.5
- Average
- 26.4
- −1.1 vs line
- Median
- 27.5
- ±0 vs line
- Hit rate
- 50%
- 6 of 12
- Price implies
- 53%
- at −112
- Books’ fair
- 49%
- margin removed
- Minutes
- 28.3
- 12 games · 26.3 in 2025–26
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 27.5 49%.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L20 · Without Williams| Line | Over | Under | L20 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −6201 book | — | 9/12 | |
| −2004 books | — | 7/12 | |
| −1281 book | −1041 book | 6/12 | |
| −1124 books | −1213 books | 6/12 | |
| +1284 books | — | 5/12 | |
| +3004 books | — | 4/12 | |
| +7801 book | — | 0/12 |
Compare 4 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 27.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 27.5 | Under 27.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet3 min ago | −110Best | — |
| betPARX3 min ago | −110Best | −121 |
| BetRivers3 min ago | −112 | −122 |
| DraftKings3 min ago | −114 | −115Best |
| PrizePickspick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 1:39 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
27.5No move since first seen


