Ace Bailey
UTAH @ SA · Mon, Nov 2 8:30 PM
Game log against Over 18.5
50%5 of 10L10
Over 18.5 Pts+Reb cleared in 5 of his last 10 games (1 of 4 on the road).
Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 13.7–33.7 pts+reb.
No matchup, rest or pace facts for this line yet: they come with the next publish.
L10 · Over 18.5
- Average
- 22.4
- +3.9 vs line
- Median
- 21.5
- +3 vs line
- Hit rate
- 50%
- 5 of 10
- Price implies
- 51%
- at −105
- Books’ fair
- 50%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 59%
- estimate · fair −141
Research, not a pick. At −103 (the best of 6 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −141, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −16772 books | — | 10/10 | |
| −2785 books | — | 9/10 | |
| −1601 book | +1201 book | 7/10 | |
| −1056 books | −1124 books | 5/10 | |
| +1235 books | −1301 book | 5/10 | |
| +3405 books | — | 5/10 | |
| +7362 books | — | 1/10 |
Compare 6 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 18.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 18.5 | Under 18.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet20 hr ago | −103Best | — |
| betPARX20 hr ago | −103Best | −132 |
| BetRivers20 hr ago | −103Best | — |
| FanDuel20 hr ago | −108 | −118 |
| DraftKings20 hr ago | −123 | −107 |
| Bovada20 hr ago | −125 | −105Best |
| PrizePickspick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 8:37 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
18.5No opening line kept for this market yet.
No line history recorded for this market yet.
What moved our number
Pace+3%
This page last updated 8:37 PM ET.