Ace Bailey
UTAH @ SA · Mon, Nov 2 8:30 PM
Game log against Over 20.5
50%5 of 10L10
Over 20.5 Pts+Reb+Ast cleared in 5 of his last 10 games (1 of 4 on the road).
Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 15.6–36.5 pts+reb+ast.
No matchup, rest or pace facts for this line yet: they come with the next publish.
L10 · Over 20.5
- Average
- 24.3
- +3.8 vs line
- Median
- 22.5
- +2 vs line
- Hit rate
- 50%
- 5 of 10
- Price implies
- 51%
- at −106
- Books’ fair
- 49%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 59%
- estimate · fair −143
Research, not a pick. At −103 (the best of 7 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −143, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −4805 books | — | 10/10 | |
| −2001 book | +1501 book | 8/10 | |
| −1275 books | +1201 book | 7/10 | |
| −1067 books | −1176 books | 5/10 | |
| +1001 book | −1301 book | 5/10 | |
| +1201 book | −1601 book | 5/10 | |
| +2305 books | — | 5/10 |
Compare 7 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 20.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 20.5 | Under 20.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet12 hr ago | −103Best | — |
| betPARX12 hr ago | −103Best | −132 |
| BetRivers12 hr ago | −103Best | −132 |
| FanDuel12 hr ago | −106 | −120 |
| Pinnacle12 hr ago | −115 | −115 |
| DraftKings12 hr ago | −122 | −107 |
| Bovada12 hr ago | −125 | −105Best |
| PrizePickspick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 8:37 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
20.5No opening line kept for this market yet.
No line history recorded for this market yet.
What moved our number
Pace+3%
This page last updated 8:37 PM ET.