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Ace Bailey
UTAH @ SAJazz @ Spurs · Today 8:30 PM ET
The line
Over 1.5 Assists
Typical price −1506 sportsbooksbest −148
Game log
Over 1.5Over 1.5 Assists cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (2 of 4 on the road).
Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 1–4 assists.
Home and away
L10 · Over 1.5Home
67%
4 of 6
Awaytonight
50%
2 of 4
L10 · Over 1.5 Assists
- Average
- 1.9
- +0.4 vs line
- Median
- 2
- +0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 60%
- 6 of 10
- Price implies
- 60%
- −150, 6 sportsbooks
- Market’s fair
- 56%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 62%
- estimate · fair −163
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.
Research, not a pick. At −148 (the best of 6 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −163, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Compare 6 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 1.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet3 hr ago | −148Best | — |
| betPARX3 hr ago | −148Best | +110 |
| BetRivers3 hr ago | −150 | +110 |
| Bovada3 hr ago | −150 | +115Best |
| DraftKings3 hr ago | −150 | +114 |
| FanDuel3 hr ago | −162 | — |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 8:37 PM ET.
Every posted line
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −8472 books | — | 9/10 | |
| −1506 books | +1124 books | 6/10 | |
| +1946 books | −2601 book | 3/10 | |
| +4805 books | — | 1/10 | |
| +10662 books | — | 0/10 | |
| +23001 book | — | 0/10 | |
| +35001 book | — | 0/10 |
What moved our number
Pace+3%