Loading the player line…
Ace Bailey
UTAH @ SAJazz @ Spurs · Today 8:30 PM ET
The line
Over 1.5 Steals+Blocks
Typical price −1414 sportsbooks
Game log
Over 1.5Over 1.5 Steals+Blocks cleared in 5 of his last 10 games (2 of 4 on the road).
Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 0–4 steals+blocks.
Home and away
L10 · Over 1.5Home
50%
3 of 6
Awaytonight
50%
2 of 4
L10 · Over 1.5 Steals+Blocks
- Average
- 2.2
- +0.7 vs line
- Median
- 2
- +0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 50%
- 5 of 10
- Price implies
- 59%
- −141, 4 sportsbooks
- Market’s fair
- 54%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 57%
- estimate · fair −133
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.
Research, not a pick. At −141 (the best of 4 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −133, so it isn't worth it.
Compare 4 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 1.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet2 hr ago | −141Best | — |
| betPARX2 hr ago | −141Best | +104Best |
| BetRivers2 hr ago | −141Best | — |
| DraftKings2 hr ago | −170 | — |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 8:37 PM ET.
Every posted line
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −6703 books | — | 9/10 | |
| −1414 books | +1041 book | 5/10 | |
| +2154 books | — | 5/10 | |
| +5104 books | — | 2/10 |
What moved our number
Pace+3%