Ace Bailey

Utah Jazz · G · #19

UTAH @ SAJazz @ Spurs · Today 8:30 PM ET

The line

Over 0.5 Blocks

−1866 sportsbooks

Game log

Over 0.5

Over 0.5 Blocks cleared in 9 of his last 10 games (4 of 4 on the road).

at HOU: 1, cleared
at OKC: 2, cleared
vs MEM: 1, cleared
at LAL: 1, cleared
at MEM: 3, cleared
vs NO: 0, missed
vs LAL: 1, cleared
vs MEM: 3, cleared
vs SA: 1, cleared
vs POR: 3, cleared

Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 0–3 blocks.

Home and away

L10 · Over 0.5

Home

83%

5 of 6

Awaytonight

100%

4 of 4

L10 · Over 0.5 Blocks

Average: 1.6; +1.1 vs line
Median: 1; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 90%; 9 of 10
Price implies: 65%; −186, 6 sportsbooks
Market’s fair: 60%; margin removed
Our chance: 68%; estimate · fair −209

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.

Research, not a pick. At −186 (the best of 6 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −209, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Compare 6 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Blocks, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
Bally Bet51 min ago	−186Best	—
betPARX51 min ago	−186Best	+135Best
BetRivers49 min ago	−186Best	—
Bovada50 min ago	−186Best	—
FanDuel49 min ago	−192	—
DraftKings55 min ago	−196	—
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price