Ace Bailey
UTAH @ SA · Mon, Nov 2 8:30 PM
Game log against Over 1.5
50%5 of 10L10
Over 1.5 3-Pointers Made cleared in 5 of his last 10 games (3 of 4 on the road).
Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 0–4 3-pointers made.
No matchup, rest or pace facts for this line yet: they come with the next publish.
L10 · Over 1.5
- Average
- 1.7
- +0.2 vs line
- Median
- 1.5
- ±0 vs line
- Hit rate
- 50%
- 5 of 10
- Price implies
- 60%
- at −150
- Books’ fair
- 56%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 58%
- estimate · fair −136
Research, not a pick. At −145 (the best of 7 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −136, so it isn't worth it.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −7203 books | — | 10/10 | |
| −1507 books | +1126 books | 5/10 | |
| +1906 books | −2901 book | 2/10 | |
| +4556 books | — | 0/10 | |
| +12003 books | — | 0/10 | |
| +25003 books | — | 0/10 | |
| +40001 book | — | 0/10 |
Compare 7 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 1.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bovada19 hr ago | −145Best | +110 |
| FanDuel19 hr ago | −146 | +114 |
| DraftKings19 hr ago | −147 | +111 |
| Bally Bet19 hr ago | −150 | — |
| betPARX19 hr ago | −150 | +112 |
| Pinnacle19 hr ago | −154 | +116Best |
| BetRivers19 hr ago | −155 | +112 |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 8:37 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
1.5No opening line kept for this market yet.
No line history recorded for this market yet.
What moved our number
Pace+3%
This page last updated 8:37 PM ET.