Bets
Our price beat the closing price on 59% of 51 bets.
The closing price is the market's last word before the game. A bettor who keeps getting better prices than the close is ahead of the market, whatever the night's results. This compares the price we logged with the fair closing price, in cents per $1 bet.
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Our price beat the closing price on 59% of 51 bets.
Our price beat the closing price on 69% of 504 game-line price signals.
Our price beat the closing price on 54% of 9,892 prop price signals.
| Sport | With a close | Beat it, 95% range | Average, 95% range | Median | Left out |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All | 504 | 69% 65–73% | +1.7¢ +1.3¢ to +2.1¢ | +1.6¢ | 68 |
| NBA | 189 | 67% 60–73% | +2.4¢ +1.9¢ to +2.9¢ | +2.4¢ | 51 |
| CFB | 131 | 72% 64–79% | +1.1¢ −0.2¢ to +2.4¢ | +1.6¢ | 15 |
| NHL | 76 | 68% 57–78% | +0.9¢ +0.4¢ to +1.4¢ | +1.0¢ | 0 |
| CBB | 42 | 76% 61–87% | +2.1¢ no range yet | +1.3¢ | 0 |
| NFL | 39 | 69% 54–81% | +1.2¢ −2.3¢ to +4.7¢ | +1.2¢ | 2 |
| WNBA | 16 | 75% 51–90% | +2.7¢ 0¢ to +5.4¢ | +3.5¢ | 0 |
Each pick's number is the fair closing chance of our side times the decimal price we logged, minus 1. "Left out" counts closing quotes more than 20¢ off (feed errors) and graded picks with no closing price captured. Voided games have no close and are not counted. How we count
Matches v3's record exactly: 13,803 picks, 994 numbers compared, checked Nov 2 at 9:09 PM ET.
The median game-line pick was 2.4¢ per $1 worse than the closing price; 28% of 477 beat it.
The median prop pick was 6.5¢ per $1 worse than the closing price; 6% of 6,127 beat it.
| MLB | 11 | 55% 28–79% | +1.0¢ −4.1¢ to +6.1¢ | +1.6¢ | 0 |