Our own picks, each counted once at the price it was logged at, wins and losses alike. The first test is whether our price beat the market's closing price; the money is beside it.
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v4 ran privately before launch. Every pick here was logged by the system at the time, before its game started, at the price shown. None has been removed or re-priced since.
This record starts fresh with v4. v3's record is kept, unchanged, in the archive.
Recomputed every five minutes from v4's own pick logs; last changed Nov 2, 7:19 PM ET.
Our price beat the closing price on 63% of 41 bets. The picks Today shows under “Bets worth making”. Leans are shown there but not recommended, so they are not counted.
Our price beat the closing price on 70% of 457 game-line price picks. Moneylines, spreads and totals where a sportsbook paid more than the market’s fair price.
Our price beat the closing price on 55% of 8,652 prop price picks. Player props where a sportsbook paid more than the fair price. Props are never posted as picks: this is research, kept so nothing is hidden.
| Sport | Picks | Beat the close, 95% range | Average vs close | Won–lost | Units | Return a pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All | 59 19 pending | 63% of 41 48–76% | +1.0¢ 0¢ to +2.1¢ | 23–17 | +1.9u | +4.8% −18.9% to +28.6% |
| NBA | 56 19 pending | 66% of 38 50–79% | +1.3¢ +0.1¢ to +2.5¢ | 21–16 | +1.3u | +3.4% −24.9% to +31.7% |
| MLB | 3 | 33% of 3 6–79% | −2.0¢ −2.7¢ to −1.2¢ | 2–1 | +0.7u | +22.7% −100.0% to +711.4% |
Grey rows have fewer than 30 bets with a closing price and fewer than 50 graded: too few to call either way.